Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 010749
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0249 AM CDT TUE JUN 01 2004
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   FLOW PATTERN ACROSS THE ERN U.S. INCLUDES A BROAD AND SLOW MOVING
   UPPER LOW ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION. LEADING SURFACE WAVE WITH
   THIS SYSTEM NOW OFF THE DELMARVA PENINSULA...IS ASSOCIATED WITH A
   FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT EXTENDS SWWD ACROSS THE GULF COAST WWD INTO
   CENTRAL TX. THIS FRONT WILL REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY AND ASSOCIATED
   SHOWERS WILL BRING A BREAK IN RECENT DRY WEATHER ACROSS SRN GA/NRN
   FL. 
   
   ACROSS THE WEST...MAIN FIRE WEATHER FEATURE WILL BE THE BUILDING
   700MB THERMAL RIDGE NWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES INTO PORTIONS OF
   THE NRN ROCKIES REGION. THIS WILL COMMENCE A GENERAL WARMING AND
   DRYING TREND ACROSS MOST CENTRAL INTERMOUNTAIN REGION. DRIEST
   CONDITIONS DURING THE PAST 7 DAYS HAVE BEEN ACROSS INTERIOR CA...THE
   SRN GREAT BASIN AND SWRN CONUS REGION. ALTHOUGH STEEP LOW-LEVEL
   LAPSE RATES...HOT TEMPERATURES /90S TO 105 IN THE BASINS/...AND VERY
   LOW RH MINIMUMS /5-10 PERCENT/ WILL BE IN PLACE THIS PERIOD ACROSS
   THE SWRN CONUS...LIGHT LOW TO MID LEVEL WIND FIELDS WILL PRECLUDE
   SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ...NERN ORE EWD INTO CENTRAL ID...
   
   ISOLATED HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON
   INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. CONVECTIVE CELLS WILL TRACK GENERALLY
   ENEWD AROUND 20 KT. MODEST INVERTED-V THERMODYNAMIC STRUCTURE WITH
   BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING TO 650MB MAY SUPPORT SOME DRY LIGHTNING
   ACTIVITY...ALTHOUGH FUELS DO NOT APPEAR PARTICULARLY RECEPTIVE TO
   IGNITION ATTM GIVEN ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL AND BELOW AVERAGE
   TEMPERATURES DURING THIS PAST WEEK.
   
   ..BANACOS.. 06/01/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 010750
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0250 AM CDT TUE JUN 01 2004
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD...VERY HOT TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY FROM SWRN
   TX WWD ACROSS THE SWRN CONUS INCLUDING THE INTERIOR VALLEYS OF CA
   AND SRN GREAT BASIN AREAS. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL CONTINUE EXTREMELY
   LOW TUESDAY...WITH READINGS OF 5-10 PERCENT LIKELY AT LOWER
   ELEVATIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE ABOVE MENTIONED AREAS. MIXING HEIGHTS
   WILL ALSO BE LARGE AS BOUNDARY LAYER EXTENDS ABOVE 600MB IN MANY
   AREAS...PARTICULARLY ACROSS NM/SRN CO WHERE MID-LEVEL SUBSIDENCE IS
   WEAKEST. A STRONG MID-LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION
   BRINGING A CONTINUATION OF GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS...DRIVEN BY LOCAL
   TOPOGRAPHIC INFLUENCES...WHICH SHOULD MITIGATE FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ...CENTRAL ORE NEWD INTO CENTRAL ID/WRN MT...
   
   A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS IS POSSIBLE BY LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
   WITHIN MID-LEVEL FRONTAL ZONE FORECAST BY THE 01/00Z ETA ACROSS
   CENTRAL ORE NEWD INTO WRN MT. A WEAK SHORTWAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
   INTO WRN ORE DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD ON THE NWRN PERIPHERY OF THE
   UPPER RIDGE.  A FEW STORMS MAY BE DRY...MAINLY ALONG SRN PERIPHERY
   OF THUNDER AREA WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER RH CONDITIONS WILL BE LOWEST.
   MOIST CONDITIONS DURING RECENT WEEKS SHOULD MITIGATE POTENTIAL FOR
   WILDFIRE STARTS. THUS...DRY LIGHTNING RISK AREA IS NOT WARRANTED AT
   THIS TIME.
   
   ..BANACOS.. 06/01/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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