Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 080812
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0312 AM CDT TUE JUN 08 2004
   
   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF NV / SERN CA / CENTRAL AND
   SRN UT / NRN AZ / WRN CO / EXTREME SRN WY...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES WITH UPPER TROUGH OVER THE
   WRN U.S. WHERE IT REMAINS VERY HOT AND DRY.  BY AFTERNOON...AN AREA
   OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BE LOCATED OVER SRN NV.  A COLD FRONT WILL
   EXTEND ACROSS NWRN NV AND WILL BE THE DELINEATOR BETWEEN HIGHER RH
   LEVELS AND WEAKEN WINDS TO THE N...AND VERY STRONG SWLY WINDS ALONG
   WITH CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES TO THE S.  AREAS FARTHER E INTO NM AND
   CENTRAL CO WILL BE HOT AND DRY AS WELL...BUT WINDS WILL NOT BE
   PARTICULARLY STRONG.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MUCH OF NV / SERN CA / CENTRAL AND
   SRN UT / NRN AZ / WRN CO / EXTREME SRN WY...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / MDT TO HIGH HAINES
   
   WINDS WILL BE STRONGER TODAY THAN PREVIOUS DAY AS UPPER TROUGH MOVES
   DIRECTLY OVERHEAD.  SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS WILL AVERAGE 20-30 MPH WITH
    THE HIGHEST GUSTS DURING THE AFTERNOON.  LOCATIONS FROM SERN NV
   INTO SWRN UT WILL SEE THE HIGHEST WIND SPEEDS OF 25-35 MPH
   SUSTAINED.  RH LEVELS WILL REMAIN LOW FROM 10-15 PERCENT ON
   AVERAGE...ALTHOUGH SINGLE DIGIT READINGS WILL BE LIKELY OVER SERN CA
   AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF ERN UT AND WRN CO.
   
   IN ADDITION...THE HAINES INDEX WILL BE RANGE FROM MODERATE OVER SRN
   CA / NV TO HIGH IN ERN UT AND WRN CO.
   
   RH RECOVERY WILL BE POOR OVERNIGHT AS WINDS REMAIN GUSTY.
   
   ...CENTRAL CO INTO NM...
   WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM CENTRAL CO INTO ALL OF NM TODAY AS UPPER
   TROUGH NEARS.  SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS NEAR 15 MPH WILL BE LIKELY WITH
   HIGHER GUSTS DURING THE AFTERNOON.  RH WILL REMAIN LOW FROM 15-20
   PERCENT IN CENTRAL CO TO 10-15 PERCENT EXCLUDING THE ERN PLAINS. 
   THE HAINES INDEX WILL BE HIGH AS WELL. COMBINATION OF MARGINAL
   WINDS AND HIGH HAINES WILL RESULT IN NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS TODAY.
   
   
   AN ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME SWRN NM
   DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AS MOISTURE OVER MEXICO MOVES NWD. 
   COVERAGE WILL BE QUITE ISOLATED HOWEVER.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/08/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 080931
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0431 AM CDT TUE JUN 08 2004
   
   VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NV / SERN CA / MUCH OF UT AND
   AZ / WRN CO / EXTREME NWRN NM...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NERN NV INTO UT / WRN CO AND NWRN
   NM / EXTREME SWRN WY...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER TROUGH AXIS WILL EXTEND FROM THE PACIFIC NW SWD INTO SRN CA. 
   AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NERN NV SWWD INTO SRN
   NV.  WINDS AHEAD OF THIS FRONT WILL BE VERY STRONG WITH LOW
   RH...FROM ERN NV / UT SWD INTO THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY.  COLD AIR
   ALOFT WITH UPPER TROUGH WILL ALLOW FOR SIGNIFICANT DRY LIGHTNING TO
   DEVELOP FROM NERN NV ACROSS UT AND INTO WRN CO AND NWRN NM.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SERN NV / CENTRAL AND SRN UT / WRN
   CO / SERN CA / CENTRAL AND NRN AZ / EXTREME NWRN NM...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG SWLY WINDS / LOW RH / MDT HAINES
   
   WINDS WILL BE EVEN STRONGER THAN ON PREVIOUS DAY AS MATURE UPPER
   TROUGH BEGINS TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.  SUSTAINED SWLY SPEEDS OF
   20-35 MPH WILL OCCUR WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO
   COOL DUE TO APPROACHING TROUGH AND ALSO WITH THE LIKELIHOOD OF
   SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS...BUT RH LEVELS WILL REMAIN CRITICALLY
   LOW FROM 10-15 PERCENT IN GENERAL.  RH RECOVERY WILL REMAIN POOR
   OVERNIGHT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - NERN NV INTO UT / WRN CO AND NWRN
   NM / EXTREME SWRN WY...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES /
   HIGH WINDS AND LOW RH
   
   SIGNIFICANT DRY LIGHTNING STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WEDNESDAY. 
   SEVERAL DAYS OF DRYING AND ALONG WITH HIGH WINDS AT THE SURFACE
   SUGGEST SIGNIFICANT WILD FIRE POTENTIAL.  
   
   COOLING ALOFT WITH UPPER TROUGH WILL CAUSE WEAK INSTABILITY TO
   DEVELOP FOR THUNDERSTORMS.  THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES / FORECAST
   EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL TEMPERATURES COLDER THAN -20 C INDICATE ANY
   CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LIGHTNING.
    PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL REMAIN LOW ENOUGH THAT THERE WILL BE
   LITTLE IF ANY RAIN FROM THESE STORMS.  DRY SUB CLOUD LAYERS ALSO
   INDICATE POTENTIAL FOR PARTICULARLY GUSTY WINDS NEAR STORMS.
   
   STRONG SLY WIND SPEEDS ALOFT WILL CAUSE STORMS TO MOVE QUICKLY
   NEWD...MINIMIZING CHANCES FOR RAIN IN ANY ONE AREA.  ALTHOUGH
   DEVELOPMENT WILL FAVOR SLY UPSLOPE AREAS...LARGE SCALE LIFT WILL
   ALLOW FOR DEVELOPMENT VIRTUALLY ANYWHERE WITHIN THE CRITICAL AREA.
   
   AREAL OUTLINE OF DRY THUNDER OUTLOOK MAY VERY WELL BE SHIFTED IN
   NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK ONCE LOCATION OF FORECAST INSTABILITY AXIS
   BECOMES MORE CERTAIN.
   
   ...CENTRAL AND SRN NM...
   NEAR CRITICAL COMBINATION OF WIND AND RH WILL EXIST OVER CENTRAL AND
   SRN NM ON WED. SWLY SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS WILL APPROACH 20 MPH
   ALONG WITH MIN RH LEVELS NEAR 15 PERCENT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/08/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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