Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 290741
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0241 AM CDT TUE JUN 29 2004
   
   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER LEVEL FLOW PATTERN WILL REMAIN DOMINATED BY SHORTWAVE RIDGING
   OVER THE ROCKIES...WITH BROAD TROUGHING ALONG THE EAST AND WEST
   COASTS. MID LEVEL MONSOON MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER MUCH OF
   THE ROCKIES/GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHWEST ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE UPPER
   RIDGE. HOWEVER...LACK OF SIGNIFICANTLY DEEP/DRY SUB CLOUD LAYER
   EXCEPT ON THE FRINGES OF THE DEEPER MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL LIMIT
   ANY CRITICAL DRY THUNDER THREAT.
   
   ...NRN/ERN GREAT BASIN...
   THIS AREA WILL REMAIN ON THE FRINGES OF THE DEEPER MID LEVEL
   MOISTURE ON THE WEST SIDE OF AN UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE
   ROCKIES. WHILE SOME LOCATIONS MAY SEE ISOLATED/SCT DRY
   THUNDERSTORMS...THE COVERAGE APPEARS INSUFFICIENT FOR A CRITICAL DRY
   THUNDER THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 06/29/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 290740
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0240 AM CDT TUE JUN 29 2004
   
   VALID 301200Z - 011200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER PATTERN ACROSS THE NATION WILL REMAIN STAGNANT FROM DAY ONE TO
   DAY 2. VERY LITTLE WAY OF MOVEMENT IS ANTICIPATED WITH THE LARGER
   SCALE FEATURES...TYPICAL OF SUMMER. TROUGHING OVER THE WEST COAST
   WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH THE PERIOD. UPPER RIDGING WILL
   EXPAND EAST FROM THE ROCKIES INTO THE HIGH PLAINS. AS THIS
   OCCURS...A WARMING/DRYING TREND WILL COMMENCE OVER THE WRN SIDE OF
   THE UPPER RIDGE FROM THE SRN PLATEAU NWD INTO THE ERN GREAT
   BASIN/CENTRAL ROCKIES. ADDITIONALLY...CONVECTIVE COVERAGE IN THIS
   AREA SHOULD BE MARKEDLY LESS AS MID LEVEL FLOW BECOMES SWLY. THE
   THREAT FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE CONFINED TO THE NRN GREAT
   BASIN SEWD INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES...WITH COVERAGE REMAINING BELOW
   CRITICAL LEVELS.
   
   ...NRN GREAT BASIN...
   LARGE SCALE DIFFLUENT PATTERN AHEAD OF NEARLY STATIONARY UPPER LOW
   OFF THE CA COAST AND ONE OR MORE WEAK VORT MAX/S TOPPING THE RIDGE
   AXIS OVER THE REGION WILL AID IN SCT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT DURING
   THE AFTERNOON/EVENING. DEGREE OF FORCING SHOULD ALLOW FOR SCATTERED
   COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS. BUT ONLY MODESTLY DRY BOUNDARY LAYER
   CONDITIONS SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY CRITICAL DRY THUNDERSTORM THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 06/29/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home