Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 060916
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0416 AM CDT TUE JUL 06 2004
   
   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER STORM SYSTEM OFF THE
   BC COAST...AND THE ASSOCIATED UPPER LOW WILL TRACK ACROSS WRN CANADA
   THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MODERATELY STRONG MID LEVEL WINDS WILL
   CONTINUE/INCREASE ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TO AROUND 30-40
   KT...WITH SUBTLE WIND MAXIMA WITHIN THE FLOW. AT THE SFC...A COLD
   FRONT WILL EXTEND ACROSS CNTRL WA/OREGON BY MID AFTERNOON.
   ELSEWHERE...UPPER TROUGH ACROSS CNTRL CONUS WILL BE MAINLY
   RESPONSIBLE FOR A WIDESPREAD AREA OF SHOWERS/TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS
   OF THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS AND MID/LOWER MS VALLEY. SFC COLD FRONT WILL
   PUSH SWD ACROSS SRN IL/MO/OK...WITH THE WRN PORTION OF THE FRONT
   BACKING UP AGAINST THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CNTRL NM.
   
   ...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...
   SFC WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 10-20 MPH RANGE...INCREASING IN
   THE AFTN WITH POSSIBLE HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS WILL STAY BELOW CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...AND MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 25
   PERCENT. ISOLATED TSTMS ARE POSSIBLE BUT DRY LIGHTNING IS NOT
   EXPECTED. 
   
   ...DRY TSTMS...
   HIGHEST COVERAGE OF TSTMS ACROSS THE WEST WILL MAINLY BE CONFINED TO
   ERN CO/NM...WHERE SOME OF THE STORMS MAY CONTAIN DRY LIGHTNING
   PARTICULARLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. STORMS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS
   OF CO/NM WILL HAVE MORE MOISTURE TO WORK WITH...AND SHOULD CONTAIN
   SOME RAIN. ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SIERRA
   NEVADA RANGE...AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ACROSS SRN UT/SRN AND CNTRL
   NV. STORM BASES WILL BE AROUND 500-600 MB...AND GUSTY WINDS ARE
   LIKELY NEAR DOWNDRAFTS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 07/06/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 061002
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0502 AM CDT TUE JUL 06 2004
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   FIRE WEATHER PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE ACTIVE ON WEDNESDAY...AS BROAD
   UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO ALBERTA. MID LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
   INCREASE TO AROUND 50-60 KT...AND THIS JET MAX WILL TRACK MAINLY
   ACROSS SRN WA/NRN ID PUSHING INTO WRN MT BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE
   RIDGE IN THE SOUTHWEST WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKENED BY THIS
   INVADING COOLER AIRMASS...AND SFC WINDS ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN WILL
   ALSO INCREASE. SFC COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM W CNTRL MT/ERN ID/NRN
   NV/NRN CA BY 08/00Z. ANOTHER UPPER STORM SYSTEM WILL BE LOCATED
   ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST AT THE START OF THE PERIOD...PROGRESSING
   INTO THE CNTRL GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY REGION BY EARLY THURSDAY. A
   BOUNDARY WILL RETURN NWD ACROSS KS/OK AS A WARM FRONT BY WEDNESDAY
   AFTN...WITH THE ERN PART OF THE BOUNDARY EXTENDING UP THE OH RIVER
   VALLEY.
   
   ...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NRN ROCKIES...
   INCREASING SFC WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN FIRE WEATHER THREAT ON
   WEDNESDAY. WITH THE STRONG MID LEVEL WIND MAX OVERHEAD...SFC WINDS
   ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN 15-25 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS
   ESPECIALLY ACROSS WRN MT...THE SNAKE RIVER VALLEY...AND AREAS E OF
   THE CASCADE MTNS. THE LOWEST RH VALUES OF 15-25 PERCENT WILL BE
   ACROSS ERN WA/OREGON AND THE SNAKE RIVER VALLEY...WHILE IN WRN
   MT...COOLER TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S/70S WILL KEEP RH VALUES ABOVE
   25-30 PERCENT. CONDITIONS ARE MARGINAL FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS...SO AN OUTLOOK WILL NOT BE ISSUED ATTM. 
   
   ...GREAT BASIN...
   SFC WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE ACROSS NV/UT ON WEDNESDAY...GENERALLY
   IN THE 15-25 MPH RANGE WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HOT TEMPERATURES IN THE
   90S/100S WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES LESS THAN 10 PERCENT MAY RESULT IN
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THE UNCERTAINTY IS MAINLY WITH HOW
   WINDY IT WILL BE. LONG TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSIST ACROSS THE
   ENTIRE REGION WITH RECENT FIRE DANGER OBSERVED VALUES IN THE HIGH TO
   EXTREME RANGE AND 1000 HR FUEL MOISTURE BELOW 10 PERCENT. 
   
   ...DRY TSTMS...
   SEVERE TSTMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SRN/ERN ID AND MT ON
   WEDNESDAY...AS STRONG LARGE SCALE ASCENT SPREADS INTO THE REGION.
   ALTHOUGH ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING IS POSSIBLE...MOST STORMS SHOULD
   CONTAIN SOME RAIN GIVEN BASES AROUND 600-700 MB. THERE IS A HIGHER
   PROBABILITY THAT STORMS ACROSS UT/NV/WRN CO MAY CONTAIN SOME DRY
   LIGHTNING. POINT FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THE BEST CHANCE FOR DRY
   TSTMS WILL BE ACROSS NRN NV/NRN UT WHERE TEMP/DEWPOINT SPREADS WILL
   BE AROUND 60 DEGREES...AND BASES WILL BE AROUND 500 MB. ALL STORMS
   WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY WINDS...ESPECIALLY NEAR
   DOWNDRAFTS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 07/06/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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