Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 310839
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0239 AM CST SUN OCT 31 2004
VALID 311200Z - 011200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
BROAD SCALE UPPER TROUGH WILL SHARPEN OVER THE ROCKIES THROUGH THE
PERIOD...WHILE UPPER RIDGE REMAINS ACROSS THE SE STATES. AREAS OF
MDT TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION WILL BE FOCUSED ALONG/NORTH OF A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY FROM CNTRL TX INTO THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. IN THE
WEST...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EWD THROUGH THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST/INTERMOUNTAIN REGION...WITH OFFSHORE/DOWNSLOPE FLOW
ENSUING ACROSS SRN CA/AZ.
...SRN CA...
OFFSHORE GRADIENT WILL INCREASE ACROSS SRN CA TODAY/TONIGHT AS HIGH
PRESSURE DEVELOPS THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST/GREAT BASIN.
MODERATE/STRONG SANTA ANA SCENARIO WILL PEAK LATE TONIGHT/EARLY
MONDAY...FURTHER AIDED BY INCREASING MID LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION IN
WAKE OF ROCKIES UPPER TROUGH AND UNIDIRECTIONAL N/NE WINDS THROUGH
LOW/MID LEVELS. SUSTAINED N/NE WINDS AS HIGH AS 20-30 MPH ARE
EXPECTED TONIGHT...WITH SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE ON A
LOCALIZED BASIS.
IN SPITE OF THE GUSTY WINDS...RECENT HEAVY PRECIPITATION/RELATIVELY
MOIST FUELS ACROSS SRN CA AND MARGINAL RH AT ONSET OF EVENT WILL
CONSIDERABLY MITIGATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH THE
PERIOD.
..GUYER.. 10/31/2004
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 310926
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0326 AM CST SUN OCT 31 2004
VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE ROCKIES WILL PROGRESS EWD INTO THE NATIONS MID
SECTION BY MONDAY NIGHT...WITH UPPER RIDGING DEVELOPING THROUGH THE
WRN STATES. COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY PROGRESS EWD THROUGH THE SRN
PLAINS/MISSOURI VALLEY...WITH MDT TO HEAVY RAINFALL FOCUSED ACROSS
THE LOWER/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP SEWD THROUGH THE INTERMOUNTAIN REGION...REINFORCING
OFFSHORE/DOWNSLOPE GRADIENT ACROSS SRN CA AND AZ.
...SRN CA/WRN AZ...
MODERATE OFFSHORE/DOWNSLOPE FLOW REGIME WILL PERSIST FROM SRN CA
INTO THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY/ADJACENT PORTIONS OF WRN AZ OWING TO
PROXIMITY OF INTERMOUNTAIN 1040 MB HIGH PRESSURE. N/NE WINDS
/SUSTAINED 15-30 MPH/ WILL BE GUSTY THROUGHOUT THE DAY...PEAKING
MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY ACROSS SRN CA.
IN SPITE OF GUSTY WINDS AND A WARMING/DRYING TREND OWING TO
OFFSHORE/DOWNSLOPE TRAJECTORIES...RECENT COPIOUS PRECIPITATION AND
RELATIVELY MOIST FUELS WILL REMAIN CONSIDERABLE LIMITING FACTORS FOR
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
...SE NM/SW TX...
STRONG N/NW WINDS WILL OCCUR IN WAKE OF COLD FRONT SWEEPING ACROSS
NM/TX...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25-35 MPH DEVELOPING ACROSS SE NM/SW
TX BY MIDDAY. HOWEVER ISOLD RAINFALL AND SUFFICIENTLY COOL
TEMPS/HIGH RH WILL LARGELY MITIGATE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
..GUYER.. 10/31/2004
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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