Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 180824
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0224 AM CST TUE JAN 18 2005
   
   VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   EARLY THIS MORNING...VERY DRY ARCTIC AIR HAS REACHED THE CENTRAL/ERN
   GULF COAST STATES AND SERN ATLANTIC COAST WITH BROAD REGION OF SUB
   FREEZING SURFACE TEMPERATURES AS WELL AS DEWPOINTS IN THE SINGLE
   DIGITS. LARGE SURFACE ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER THE SWRN GREAT LAKES
   REGION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SEWD AND BECOME AN ELONGATED RIDGE FROM
   COASTAL TX TO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS TO NRN NY AT 19/00Z.
   
   ELSEWHERE...CHINOOK FRONT ACROSS E-CENTRAL MT/WY THIS MORNING
   DENOTES LEADING EDGE OF MOIST PACIFIC AIRSTREAM ACROSS THE NWRN
   CONUS. AS THIS FEATURE MOVES EWD ACROSS THE DAKOTAS THIS
   AFTERNOON...A LEE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DEVELOP SWD ACROSS
   THE CENTRAL/SRN HIGH PLAINS AREA. THIS WILL BEGIN THE START OF A
   WARMING TREND ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL U.S.
   
   ...SERN CONUS...
   
   YESTERDAY /MONDAY/ AFTERNOON...RH VALUES OF 20-30 PERCENT OR LESS
   WERE OBSERVED ACROSS A LARGE REGION OF THE SERN CONUS...FROM ERN LA
   TO THE CAROLINAS...AS WELL AS ACROSS NRN FL. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE
   EXPECTED TODAY UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. A FEW RH READINGS BETWEEN
   15-20 PERCENT ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS INTERIOR GA AND SC AS DRIEST AIR
   MOVES SWD ALONG THE ERN SLOPES OF THE SRN APPALACHIANS. DESPITE VERY
   LOW RH...AS SURFACE RIDGING MOVES INTO THE TN VALLEY BY
   21Z...GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS WILL PREVAIL OUT OF THE NORTH AND NE AT
   5-10 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. ALSO...SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
   WELL BELOW AVERAGE RANGING FROM AROUND 40 ACROSS NRN GA/WRN SC TO
   THE LOW 50S ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE AND EXTREME NRN FL PENINSULA.
   WIND AND TEMPERATURE FACTORS ARE EXPECTED TO MITIGATE OVERALL FIRE
   WEATHER RISK PRECLUDING CRITICAL CONDITIONS.
   
   ...SRN HIGH PLAINS...
   
   TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE MID 50S TO AROUND 60 ACROSS
   ERN NM AND WRN TX THIS AFTERNOON AS AIR MASS MODERATES ON WRN
   PERIPHERY OF SURFACE ANTICYCLONE. SWLY WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 15-20
   MPH DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON WITH MARGINALLY LOW RH VALUES
   OF 25-35 PERCENT. STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS ERN/NERN NM
   AND THE TX/OK PANHANDLES...JUST EAST OF THE SURFACE LEE TROUGH THIS
   AFTERNOON. CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED...BUT A MARGINAL
   THREAT OF GRASSFIRE WILL EXIST GIVEN DORMANT MID-WINTER
   GRASSES...DRY WEATHER...AND WARMING TEMPERATURES.
   
   ..BANACOS.. 01/18/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 180823
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0223 AM CST TUE JAN 18 2005
   
   VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD...A 500MB RIDGE WILL BUILD NWD ACROSS THE
   INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WITH A BROAD NWLY FLOW REGIME CONTINUING FROM
   ALBERTA CANADA SEWD INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES. A SERIES OF
   CLIPPER SYSTEMS WILL AFFECT THE NRN TIER OF THE CONUS...WITH THE
   LEADING SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE ERN GREAT LAKES REGION DURING
   WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE UPSTREAM SURFACE LOW WILL DROP SEWD ACROSS
   ERN MT INTO THE WRN DAKOTAS BY 20/00Z. SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE GRADIENTS
   WILL BECOME WEAK ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS LEADING TO LIGHTER WINDS THAN
   THOSE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY 1 PERIOD.
   
   THE SURFACE RIDGE EXPECTED ALONG THE ERN SEABOARD AND SWWD ACROSS
   THE GULF COAST AT 19/12Z WILL WEAKEN AS AIR MASS MODERATES ACROSS
   THE SERN CONUS. SOME LINGERING AREAS OF LOW RH VALUES ARE LIKELY
   ACROSS GA/NRN FL NEWD ACROSS THE CAROLINAS...WHERE MINIMUM VALUES OF
   25-35 PERCENT ARE LIKELY. TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S
   ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE AND NRN FL PENINSULA TO THE MID 40S ACROSS
   INTERIOR SC. WLY TO SWLY WINDS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 10-20 MPH
   DURING THE MID-LATE AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS
   LIKELY ACROSS THE CAROLINAS BETWEEN THE GREAT LAKES LOW AND
   WEAKENING SURFACE RIDGE. PRESENT INDICATIONS SUGGEST CONDITIONS WILL
   NOT BE SUFFICIENT FOR A CRITICAL RISK AREA...PRIMARILY DUE TO COOL
   TEMPERATURES AND MARGINAL SURFACE WINDS.
   
   ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CONUS...SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
   NOT FORECAST.
   
   ..BANACOS.. 01/18/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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