Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 250529
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1129 PM CST MON JAN 24 2005
VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
THE UPPER AIR PATTERN ACROSS THE CONUS WILL BE DOMINATED BY A LARGE
TROUGH OVER THE ERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY AND ALONG THE WEST
COAST...WITH UPPER RIDGING IN BETWEEN OVER THE ROCKIES. A MODERATELY
STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE FROM THE SRN ROCKIES INTO THE SERN
STATES EMBEDDED IN A SRN JET STREAM. THIS WILL AID IN GUSTY WINDS
OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN
ALONG THE GULF COAST REGION PROVIDING FOR ANOTHER DAY OF VERY LOW RH
READINGS FROM 25-35 PERCENT.
...SRN HIGH PLAINS...
WLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 30 MPH WILL BE LIKELY
ACROSS MUCH OF THE SRN HIGH PLAINS AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD
FRONT/TROUGH. AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE REGION MID
LEVEL COOLING/STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT MOMENTUM
TRANSFER OF STRONGER WLY WINDS ALOFT. WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE
60S-MID 70S AIDED BY DOWNSLOPE CONDITIONS...COMBINED WITH DEWPTS IN
THE 20S/LOWER 30S WILL PRODUCE MIN RH READINGS IN THE 15-25 PERCENT
RANGE. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR BEFORE PEAK HEATING
AS THE MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST OF THE REGION BY
THE AFTERNOON. THUS THE COMBINATION OF MARGINAL MIN RH READINGS AND
DECREASING WINDS DURING THE PERIOD OF LOWEST MIN RH READINGS WILL
PRECLUDE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
...FL...
ONE MORE DAY OF LOW DEWPTS IS EXPECTED OVER MOST OF THE
PENINSULA...EXCEPT FOR THE IMMEDIATE WEST COAST...AS SFC HIGH
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE SWD THROUGH THE REGION. DEWPTS IN
THE UPPER 20S/30S COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S WILL PROVIDE
FOR MIN RH READINGS IN THE 25-35 PERCENT. DESPITE A RECENT DRY SPELL
OVER MUCH OF THE REGION...LIGHT WLY WINDS BELOW 10 MPH AND MIXING
HEIGHTS BELOW 2500 FT WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
..CROSBIE.. 01/25/2005
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 250530
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 PM CST MON JAN 24 2005
VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER PATTERN WILL CHANGE LITTLE BETWEEN DAY ONE AND DAY TWO...AS A
BROAD UPPER TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE ERN HALF OF THE NATION.
TROUGHING ALONG THE WEST COAST WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP EWD INTO THE
GREAT BASIN. LIGHT TO MODERATE PRECIPITATION CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
THIS TROUGH. THE EWD SHIFT OF THE UPPER TROUGH WILL AID IN A SHIFT
OF UPPER RIDGING FROM THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS. A COLD FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE BROAD ERN TROUGH WILL SHIFT SWD THROUGH THE
PLAINS STATES AND AID IN MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER RH
READINGS ACROSS MUCH OF THE SRN/CNTRL PLAINS.
SWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE SERN STATES/FL IN ASSOCIATION WITH
A RAPIDLY EWD MOVING SRN STREAM TROUGH. THIS WILL AID IN LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE INCREASING OVER FL AND THE SERN STATES WITH DEWPTS IN THE
UPPER 40S/50S...WITH MUCH HIGHER MIN RH READINGS FROM 40-50 PERCENT.
..CROSBIE.. 01/25/2005
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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