Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 310750
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0150 AM CST MON JAN 31 2005
   
   VALID 311200Z - 011200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   ONLY FIRE WEATHER CONCERN TODAY WILL BE ACROSS SRN CA...WHERE
   OFFSHORE FLOW REGIME WILL RESULT IN BREEZY AND WARM CONDITIONS. THE
   LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL BE DOMINATED BY A SPLIT FLOW ALOFT...WITH A
   TROUGH PROGRESSING INTO THE NORTHEAST...AND SEVERAL UPPER WAVES
   MOVING FROM THE SRN PLAINS INTO THE TN VALLEY BY TUE. SFC HIGH
   PRESSURE CENTERED ACROSS SRN ID WILL CREATE A STRONG PRESSURE
   GRADIENT CONTRIBUTING TO STRONGER WINDS ACROSS SRN CA. ALSO...A MID
   LEVEL JET MAX /NEAR 60-65 KT/ WILL ACCELERATE AROUND AN AREA OF LOW
   PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER SRN AZ.
   
   ...SRN CA...
   SFC WINDS ON SUNDAY WERE GENERALLY IN THE 15-25 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS
   TO AROUND 30 MPH...AND WINDS WILL BE STRONGER TODAY. SUSTAINED WINDS
   OF 20-40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH MAX TEMPS IN THE 60S/70S. POINT
   FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES...WITH
   TEMP/DEWPOINT SPREADS ON THE ORDER OF 45-50 DEGREES. THIS WILL
   CONTRIBUTE TO MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS IN THE 15-20 PERCENT
   RANGE. RECENT PRECIPITATION WILL MITIGATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS...THOUGH THERE WILL BE AN INCREASED THREAT OF WIND-DRIVEN
   FIRES.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 01/31/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 310751
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0151 AM CST MON JAN 31 2005
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   PATTERN WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR OFFSHORE WINDS ACROSS SRN CA...AS
   PACIFIC RIDGE BUILDS THROUGH TUESDAY. THE STRONG RIDGE WILL
   ESSENTIALLY BLOCK WEATHER SYSTEMS APPROACHING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.
   MEANWHILE...SWRN UPPER LOW WILL EJECT OUT INTO THE SRN PLAINS ON
   TUESDAY...WITH A WLY FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY/SOUTHEAST.
   BY THE END OF THE PERIOD...A NEW UPPER LOW BEGINS TO DEVELOP NEAR
   BAJA REINFORCED BY A NLY 60 KT JET MAX MOVING ACROSS THE SRN GREAT
   BASIN/SRN CA.
   
   ...SRN CA...
   SUSTAINED SFC WINDS WILL AGAIN BE IN THE 15-20 MPH RANGE WITH
   MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS RANGING FROM 20-30 PERCENT. THE
   WINDS MAY NOT BE AS STRONG AS MONDAY BECAUSE INVERSION HEIGHTS WILL
   BE LOWER...WHICH MAY INHIBIT HIGHER MOMENTUM AIR FROM MIXING DOWN TO
   THE SFC. WINDS ALOFT WILL BE INCREASING THOUGH THROUGH TUE
   EVENING/EARLY WED MORNING IN RESPONSE TO APPROACHING JET MAX.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 01/31/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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