Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 200839
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0239 AM CST SUN FEB 20 2005
VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
TRANQUIL FIRE WEATHER PATTERN EXPECTED THIS PERIOD. LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL TRACK RAPIDLY ENEWD REACHING
THE SERN GREAT LAKES REGION BY MONDAY MORNING. PREVAILING POLAR
RIDGE ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC AND CENTRAL APPALACHIAN REGION MOVES
OFFSHORE ALLOWING FOR CONSIDERABLE IMPROVEMENT TO RECENT LOW RH
AFTERNOONS ACROSS THE SERN CONUS. LOW-LEVEL TRAJECTORIES OFF THE ERN
GULF OF MEXICO WILL RESULT IN RH MINIMUMS AT OR ABOVE 40
PERCENT...AN IMPROVEMENT OF 20-25 PERCENT OVER SATURDAY AFTERNOON IN
SOME AREAS.
ELSEWHERE...PRIMARY LOW-LEVEL MOIST AXIS ASSOCIATED WITH CENTRAL
U.S. CYCLONE SHOULD BE POSITIONED FROM ERN TX NEWD TO SRN IL BY LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. CONSIDERABLE DRYING WILL OCCUR WITH DOWNSLOPE WLY
FLOW ACROSS ERN NM...WEST TX...THE OK PANHANDLE...SERN CO...AND SWRN
KS. AREAS OF LOW AFTERNOON RH BETWEEN 20-30 PERCENT ARE
LIKELY...HOWEVER...MARGINAL WLY WINDS OF 15-20 MPH COMBINED WITH
LINGERING DAMP FUELS ASSOCIATED WITH RAIN FROM SATURDAY EVENING WILL
PRECLUDE ANY SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER THREAT TODAY.
..BANACOS.. 02/20/2005
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 200838
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0238 AM CST SUN FEB 20 2005
VALID 211200Z - 221200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A SPLIT UPPER FLOW PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CONUS DURING THE
DAY 2 PERIOD. MODERATELY STRONG BELT OF WSWLY FLOW IN THE SRN BRANCH
WILL EXTEND FROM BAJA CA TO THE SRN PLAINS...INDUCING WEAK LEE
TROUGHING ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SRN HIGH PLAINS REGION BY 21/18Z.
CURRENT NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS RH MINIMUMS BELOW 30 PERCENT
WILL BE CONFINED TO AN AREA FROM ERN CO SWD TO THE BIG BEND...AND
WWD ACROSS THE ERN PLAINS OF NM. ISOLATED VALUES DOWN TO 20 PERCENT
ARE POSSIBLE...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE LOW 60S IN
SERN CO TO THE MID 70S IN SWRN TX. LIGHT WINDS OF GENERALLY 5-15 MPH
SHOULD MITIGATE ANY SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER THREAT RESULTING FROM
LOW DAYTIME RH.
ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE COUNTRY...SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE NOT EXPECTED DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD.
..BANACOS.. 02/20/2005
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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