Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 190723
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0123 AM CST SAT MAR 19 2005
   
   VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A WELL DEFINED SRN STREAM JET WILL SUPPORT SEVERAL PROGRESSIVE
   SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ACROSS THE WRN/SRN STATES THROUGH THE PERIOD.
   THESE SYSTEMS WILL AID IN AREAS OF MOD/HVY PRECIPITATION OVER CA/NV
   AND ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY. THE MODERATE WLY FLOW AT MID/HIGH
   LEVELS OVER THE ROCKIES WILL AID IN STRENGTHENING A LEE TROUGH OVER
   THE CENTRAL/SRN HIGH PLAINS. TEMPERATURES TO THE WEST OF THE LEE
   TROUGH WILL BE IN THE 50S/60S...AND WINDS WILL BE SWLY AT 15-20 MPH
   WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF FAR SRN NM/WRN TX.
   RELATIVELY COOL TEMPERATURES DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF COPIOUS MID/HIGH
   CLOUD COVER WILL LIMIT MIN RH READINGS IN THIS AREA TO ABOVE 25
   PERCENT.
   
   BEHIND THE LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE
   TO PUSH SLOWLY SWD THROUGH NRN TX AND THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY
   EARLY IN THE PERIOD. BEHIND THIS FRONT...MARGINAL COOLING OF
   TEMPERATURES INTO THE 60S COMBINED WITH DEWPTS IN THE 20S/30S WILL
   LEAD TO MIN RH READINGS FROM 25-35 PERCENT OVER OK/AR.
   HOWEVER...WEAK NLY WINDS FROM 10-15 MPH WILL PRECLUDE ANY CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 03/19/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 190724
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0124 AM CST SAT MAR 19 2005
   
   VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG MID/UPPER JET WILL BEGIN TO ROUND THE BASE OF A MID/UPPER
   TROUGH AS THIS TROUGH MOVES FROM THE ERN PACIFIC INTO THE SWRN
   STATES THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS ASSOCIATED INCREASE IN MID LEVEL
   FLOW OVER THE SRN ROCKIES WILL AID IN STRENGTHENING THE LEE TROUGH
   LOCATED OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. LOW LEVEL SWLY TRAJECTORIES FROM
   NRN MEXICO WILL AID IN WARMER TEMPERATURES OVER THE SRN ROCKIES/SRN
   HIGH PLAINS THAN WILL OCCUR ON DAY ONE DESPITE MODERATE AMOUNTS OF
   HIGH CLOUDS. EAST OF A PACIFIC COLD FRONT WHICH WILL MOVE INTO WRN
   NM DURING THE AFTERNOON...HIGH TEMPERATURES TO THE WEST OF THE LEE
   TROUGH WILL BE IN THE 70S ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS. WITH SEASONABLY
   LOW DEWPTS IN THE 30S...MIN RH READINGS ARE CURRENTLY FCST TO RANGE
   FROM 15 TO 20 PERCENT. SUPPORTED BY A DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER
   BENEATH STRENGTHENING MID LEVEL FLOW...SWLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
   FROM 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 35 MPH IN HIGHER TERRAIN. IF LATER
   FCSTS INDICATE LESS CLOUD COVER/LOWER RH READINGS THEN THIS AREA
   WOULD NEED TO BE CONSIDERED FOR A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 03/19/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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