Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 200818
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0318 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2005
VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
LARGE RIDGE CENTERED NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS REGION WILL BE THE MAIN
FOCUS RELATED TO FIRE WEATHER OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MUCH ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE WITH A FEW RECORD HIGHS LIKELY
TODAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WRN NEB/WY/CO FRONT RANGE...SWWD INTO NRN
AZ/CO RIVER VALLEY. STRONGEST WINDS ALOFT WILL REMAIN CONFINED TO
THE NRN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE...FORECAST TO EXTEND FROM SRN CA
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN INTO THE NRN HIGH PLAINS. AT LOWER
LEVELS...SFC LOW WILL DEEPEN DURING THE DAY ACROSS NE WY NEAR THE MT
BORDER...WITH A COLD FRONT INTO SW WY/NRN UT/CNTRL NV BY EVENING.
...NRN HIGH PLAINS...
THERMAL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO SCNTRL WY TODAY...WITH MID LEVEL JET
INCREASING TO 30-50 KT. SFC WINDS WILL BE PARTICULARLY STRONG IN
RESPONSE TO DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15-25 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HIGH TEMPS WILL BE IN THE LOW/MID 90S
WITH LOWER VALUES IN THE MTNS...BUT RH VALUES WILL FALL BELOW 10
PERCENT WITH 50 DEGREE TEMP/DEWPOINT SPREADS.
CONDITIONS WILL APPROACH THE CRITERIA FOR A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
OUTLOOK...BUT RECENT 100/1000HR FUEL MOISTURE VALUES ARE STILL
RELATIVELY HIGH. ALSO NFDRS FIRE DANGER CLASS OBS HAVE ONLY BEGUN TO
INCREASE IN THE PAST FEW DAYS...WITH PART OF THE REGION STILL
RECORDING LOW/MODERATE VALUES. CERTAINLY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS MAY
BE HIGHEST IN REGIONS OF DRY FINE FUELS GIVEN EXPECTED WIND/RH
CONDITIONS.
..TAYLOR.. 05/20/2005
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 200819
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0319 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2005
VALID 211200Z - 221200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
RIDGE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND...WHILE MAIN BAND OF STRONG WESTERLIES SHIFTS NWD ACROSS THE
NRN ROCKIES AND NRN PLAINS. CLOSED UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE
INTO SRN MANITOBA BY SAT AFTN...ASSOCIATED WITH UNUSUALLY STRONG MID
LEVEL JET STREAK OF 80-90 KT. AT THE SFC...LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN
QUICKLY IN RESPONSE TO LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS AT IT MOVES INTO SRN
MANITOBA BY AFTN. COLD FRONT WILL MOVE FROM THE CNTRL DAKOTAS EARLY
IN THE DAY TO WRN MN/ERN NEB BY EARLY EVENING.
...NRN PLAINS...
VERY STRONG SFC WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE DAKOTAS/WRN MN/NEB ON
SATURDAY IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT. SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 25-40 MPH ARE LIKELY...ALTHOUGH MINIMUM RH IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN ABOVE 30-40 PERCENT WITH COOLER TEMPS BEHIND THE FRONT. RAIN
AND TSTMS ARE EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY/EARLY SATURDAY ACROSS ND POSSIBLY
INTO ERN SD...SO THE DRIEST FUEL CONDITIONS FOR SATURDAY WILL LIKELY
BE IN WRN NEB/WRN SD.
..TAYLOR.. 05/20/2005
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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