Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 070716
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0216 AM CDT TUE JUN 07 2005
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND
   SOUTHERN ROCKIES...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   BROAD UPPER TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS THE NWRN CONUS TODAY WITH EMBEDDED
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL NV THIS MORNING EXPECTED TO
   LIFT ENEWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG
   MID-LEVEL WINDS ACCOMPANY THIS SHORTWAVE TROUGH...WITH 500MB FLOW OF
   65-70KT FORECAST ACROSS ERN UT INTO WRN/CENTRAL CO COINCIDENT WITH
   DAYTIME HEATING MAXIMUM THIS AFTERNOON. MODERATELY STRONG WINDS WILL
   EXTEND SWD INTO 700MB THERMAL RIDGE AXIS OF +13 TO +14C REMAINING
   ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES THIS AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD WINDY CONDITIONS
   WITH LOW RH VALUES AND SEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE FOUR
   CORNERS REGION WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SERN/ERN UT...WRN/CENTRAL
   CO...NRN/NERN AZ...AND CENTRAL/NRN NM...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG SURFACE WINDS / VERY LOW RH VALUES / DRY
   FUELS
   
   WLY TO SWLY SURFACE WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WILL DEVELOP BY EARLY
   AFTERNOON AS STEEPENING LOW-TO-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ENHANCE
   VERTICAL MIXING IN VICINITY OF ENHANCED UPPER FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH
   MIGRATORY UPPER THROUGH. QUASI-STATIONARY SURFACE FRONT WILL REMAIN
   IN PLACE FROM E-CENTRAL WY SWWD ACROSS NWRN CO INTO S-CENTRAL UT
   THIS AFTERNOON. VERY LOW RH VALUES WILL DEVELOP SOUTH AND EAST OF
   THE BOUNDARY...WITH RH MINIMUMS OF 8-15 PERCENT LIKELY AT LOWER
   ELEVATIONS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REACH INTO THE 80S ACROSS
   VALLEY/BASIN LOCATIONS. DRY FUEL CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH STRONG
   DAYTIME WINDS/VERY LOW RH WILL RESULT IN A RELATIVELY LARGE AREA OF
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FROM ROUGHLY 07/18Z THROUGH 08/03Z.
   
   STABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER LATE THIS EVENING WILL REDUCE WIND SPEEDS
   WITH LINGERING WINDY CONDITIONS AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS THROUGH THE
   OVERNIGHT PERIOD.
   
   ..BANACOS.. 06/07/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 070715
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0215 AM CDT TUE JUN 07 2005
   
   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD...SHORTWAVE TROUGH EJECTS NEWD ACROSS THE
   NRN PLAINS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WHILE LONG WAVE TROUGH REMAINS IN
   PLACE ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. CORE OF COLDEST MID-LEVEL
   TEMPERATURES ASSOCIATED WITH THE WRN TROUGH MOVES EWD INTO ERN
   ID/WRN MT. LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN SYNOPTIC PATTERN
   ACROSS THE SRN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION...WITH MID-LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE
   PERSISTING FROM CENTRAL NV ENEWD ACROSS CENTRAL UT INTO NWRN CO/SRN
   WY. CONTINUATION OF SEASONABLY WARM TO HOT TEMPERATURES AND VERY LOW
   RH VALUES WILL PERSIST SOUTH OF THIS ZONE ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS
   INTO THE DESERT SW. PRIMARY DIFFERENCE ON DAY 2 IS A SLIGHT
   LESSENING OF MID-LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS
   REGION...ALTHOUGH DIFFERENCES EXIST IN NAM AND GFS SOLUTIONS. NAM
   SUGGESTS WSWLY 500MB WINDS OF 25-35 KT ACROSS NM AND AZ WEDNESDAY
   AFTERNOON AND EVENING WHILE GFS INDICATES AN EMBEDDED MID-LEVEL
   SPEED MAX OF 45KT MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL AZ BY 09/00Z. OVERALL FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT AND MODERATE/STRONG SURFACE WIND POTENTIAL APPEARS
   MORE MARGINAL ON WEDNESDAY...PRECLUDING A RISK AREA AT THIS TIME.
   HOWEVER...IF CURRENT GFS SOLUTION APPEARS MORE LIKELY
   TOMORROW...THEN PORTIONS OF THE FOUR CORNERS REGION MAY REQUIRE A
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA IN TOMORROW/S DAY 1 OUTLOOK.
   
   ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CONUS...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
   NOT EXPECTED.
   
   ..BANACOS.. 06/07/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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