Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 190936
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0436 AM CDT SUN JUN 19 2005
   
   VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CNTRL NV/SW UT...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER LOW OFF WEST COAST WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY WHILE RIDGE
   BUILDS ACROSS PACIFIC NORTHWEST. POSITION OF UPPER LOW WILL MAINTAIN
   STRONG BRANCH OF SWLY FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN...SUPPORTING
   A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. AT THE SFC...WARM FRONT WILL LIFT
   NORTH ACROSS SRN ID/NRN WY. MAIN TSTM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE FOCUSED
   NORTH OF THIS BOUNDARY...ACROSS THE SAWTOOTH MTNS INTO THE SWRN MTNS
   OF MT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - CNTRL NV/SW UT...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SFC WINDS OF 20-30 MPH/MINIMUM RH
   VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT
   
   GIVEN PLACEMENT OF MID/UPPER JET ACROSS GREAT BASIN...STRONG SFC
   WINDS WILL DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING WITH GUSTS IN THE 35-45 MPH RANGE
   AGAIN. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL FALL BELOW 15 PERCENT...AND BELOW 10
   PERCENT ACROSS SRN NV THROUGH THE CO RIVER VALLEY. SEVERAL DAYS OF
   STRONG WINDS/HIGH TEMPS IN THE 90S/AND LOW RH VALUES HAVE
   CONTRIBUTED TO DRYING FUELS...SO WILL CONTINUE A CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT ACROSS MAINLY CNTRL/SRN NV INTO SW UT.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 06/19/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 190937
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0437 AM CDT SUN JUN 19 2005
   
   VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL BECOME MORE PROMINENT FEATURE ACROSS THE WRN
   STATES THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AS UPPER TROUGH AMPLIFIES OFF THE WEST
   COAST. STRONGEST FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN FOCUSED ACROSS THE
   SOUTHWEST/SRN GREAT BASIN...AND DRY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
   THROUGH MONDAY. INCREASING MOISTURE ACROSS NM/ERN AZ WILL RESULT IN
   TSTM DEVELOPMENT...SOME OF WHICH MAY CONTAIN LITTLE RAIN.
   
   ...SRN GREAT BASIN...
   MODEL FORECASTS SUGGEST THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY
   AGAIN DEVELOP ON MONDAY...BUT THAT STRONGEST FLOW WILL BECOME MORE
   MERIDIONAL BY TUESDAY IN RESPONSE TO DEEPENING TROUGH OFF WEST
   COAST. WINDS AT 700MB ACROSS THE SRN GREAT BASIN WILL TEND TO WEAKEN
   THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY...EVENTUALLY BECOMING FOCUSED ACROSS NRN CA
   INVOF OF DEVELOPING COLD FRONT.
   
   ...DRY TSTMS POSSIBLE ACROSS ERN AZ/NM...
   FAVORABLE UPSLOPE FLOW AND INCREASING MOISTURE RETURN WILL SUPPORT
   THE DEVELOPMENT OF AFTN/EVENING TSTMS ACROSS NM AND PORTIONS OF ERN
   AZ ON MONDAY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST BEST CHANCE FOR DRY TSTMS
   WILL BE ACROSS CNTRL NM MTNS THROUGH THE WHITE MTNS WHERE PW VALUES
   RANGE FROM 0.5 TO 0.6 INCHES AND BOUNDARY LAYER WILL BE VERY DRY AND
   DEEPLY MIXED.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 06/19/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home