Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 260706
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0206 AM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005
   
   VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL WEAKEN AS IT SHIFTS NEWD ALONG NRN PERIPHERY
   OF UPPER RIDGE...ALLOWING WIND SPEEDS TO WEAKEN SOMEWHAT OVER THE
   GREAT BASIN AND DESERT SW...BUT KEEPING IT HOT AND DRY. ANOTHER
   TROUGH ALOFT WILL AMPLIFY OVER THE PACIFIC NW AND SHIFT
   EWD...BRINGING HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES AND
   PLAINS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN OCCUR OVER MUCH OF THE
   CENTRAL AND SRN ROCKIES THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A FEW OF THEM DRY.
   
   ...SRN NV / SWRN UT / NWRN AZ AND MOGOLLON RIM / SERN CA DESERTS...
   CONDITIONS WILL BE NEAR CRITICAL TODAY...THE MITIGATING FACTOR BEING
   DECREASED WIND SPEEDS. MAIN ENERGY WITH YESTERDAYS TROUGH WILL MOVE
   OUT OF THE AREA...ALLOWING FOR SOME SLIGHT RIDGING TO OCCUR WHICH
   WILL KEEP CONDITIONS WARM AND DRY BUT WITH LIGHTER WINDS. 
   STILL...SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS OF 15-20 MPH WILL BE COMMON WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS. RH WILL REMAIN VERY LOW WITH VALUES INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS IN
   THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. HAINES INDICES WILL BE MDT TO HIGH ONCE AGAIN.
   THUS...ENHANCED FIRE ACTIVITY CAN BE EXPECTED BY PEAK HEATING
   HOURS...WITH POOR RECOVERY OVERNIGHT.
   
   ...NM / WRN CO / SERN UT / NERN AZ...
   SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ONCE AGAIN THIS
   AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER NM AND CO. GIVEN DRY SUB CLOUD
   LAYERS...LITTLE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL THUS POTENTIAL WILL EXIST
   FOR SOME STARTS DUE TO LIGHTNING.
   
   ...WY / NWRN CO...
   MODERATE SWLY FLOW ALOFT WITH DEPARTING SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND STRONG
   HEATING WILL ALLOW FOR LOWER ATMOSPHERIC INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP
   TODAY...AND WILL HELP MIX GUSTY WINDS TO THE SURFACE. SWLY SUSTAINED
   SPEEDS NEAR 20 APPEAR LIKELY WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RH VALUES WILL NOT
   BE VERY LOW HOWEVER...AVERAGING NEAR 20 PERCENT DUE TO MODERATE
   TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S AND 80S.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/26/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 260708
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0208 AM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005
   
   VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE PACIFIC NW AND NRN
   ROCKIES ON MONDAY AND WILL BRING SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION TO WA /
   OR / ID / MT.  FARTHER S...SRN EDGE OF TROUGH AND STRONGER WINDS
   ALOFT WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE GREAT BASIN WHERE VERY DRY AIR
   WILL REMAIN. SOME DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
   NERN AZ / SERN UT / WRN NM AND CO.
   
   ...SRN NV / SWRN UT / NWRN AZ...
   NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR MONDAY.
   A VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE...WITH MIN RH VALUES IN THE
   SINGLE DIGITS. SOME INCREASE IN WIND WILL OCCUR WITH SRN EDGE OF
   UPPER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN. IT APPEARS SLY WINDS
   NEAR 20 MPH WILL OCCUR ALONG WITH MDT TO HIGH HAINES VALUES.
   THUS...ONGOING FIRES WILL EXPERIENCE FAVORABLE GROWTH CONDITIONS
   DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS ONCE AGAIN. AREA MAY BE UPGRADED TO
   CRITICAL ONCE WIND SPEED FORECAST BECOMES CLEARER IN NEXT DAY 1
   PACKAGE.
   
   ...SERN UT / NERN AZ / NRN NM / WRN CO...
   SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN OCCUR ACROSS THE REGION DURING
   THE AFTERNOON HOURS AND FAVORING W FACING SLOPES FOR AFTERNOON
   DEVELOPMENT. DRY SUB CLOUD LAYERS WILL FAVOR LITTLE PRECIPITATION
   AND STRONG EVAPORATIVE COOLING FOR GUSTY WINDS. SURFACE WINDS OF
   10-15 MPH AREA FORECAST ALONG WITH MIN RH VALUES OF 15-20 PERCENT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/26/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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