Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 060948
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0448 AM CDT WED JUL 06 2005
   
   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF NRN/CNTRL AZ...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   WATER VAPOR IMAGERY THIS MORNING SHOWS A WEAK UPPER LOW OVER CNTRL
   CA...WITH AN UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK ACROSS SRN CA INTO NW AZ. A
   PRONOUNCED AREA OF DRIER AIR IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LARGE SCALE
   SUBSIDENCE ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE JET AXIS...INDICATED BY THE
   DARKENING REGION ON WV IMAGERY. THIS UPPER WAVE IS FORECAST TO MOVE
   ACROSS NRN AZ TODAY...WITH HOT AND BREEZY WEATHER ACROSS MUCH OF AZ.
   ELSEWHERE...NRN STREAM WILL REMAIN ACTIVE ACROSS THE PACIFIC
   NORTHWEST...WITH MAIN COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM WRN MT/SE ORE/NRN CA
   BY EVENING.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - PORTIONS OF NRN/CNTRL AZ...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 10 PERCENT/LONG TERM
   DROUGHT/LOCALLY BREEZY WINDS OF 15-25 MPH
   
   LOCALLY BREEZY THERMALLY DRIVEN WINDS OF 15-25 MPH WILL DEVELOP BY
   EARLY TO MID AFTN AS TEMPS CLIMB INTO THE 90S/100S IN THE LOWER
   ELEVATIONS/GRAND CANYON COUNTRY WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS IN THE
   HIGHER TERRAIN. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL AGAIN DROP INTO THE SINGLE
   DIGITS...CONTRIBUTING TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. FORECAST
   SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THE WORST CONDITIONS MAY EXIST ALONG A CORRIDOR
   FROM NEAR FLG TO SJN. RECENT FIRE DANGER CLASS OBSERVATIONS ARE IN
   THE VERY HIGH TO EXTREME RANGE.
   
   ...DRY TSTMS...
   ISOLD DRY TSTMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SERN
   ID/WRN MT THROUGH ERN PORTIONS OF UT/WRN CO INTO CNTRL/ERN NM.
   FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL GENERALLY
   BE LESS THAN 0.5 INCHES...WITH INVERTED-V TYPE THERMODYNAMIC
   PROFILES. COVERAGE IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD...BUT WHERE
   STORMS DO FORM...THREAT FOR DRY LIGHTNING AND STRONG TSTM WIND GUSTS
   WILL EXIST.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 07/06/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 060949
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0449 AM CDT WED JUL 06 2005
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   RIDGE WILL BUILD ON THURSDAY FROM THE SOUTHWEST INTO THE UPPER MS
   VALLEY AHEAD OF AMPLIFYING SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS
   ALBERTA/SASK. MUCH OF THE STRONGER MID LEVEL FLOW WILL BE CONFINED
   FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO THE NRN PLAINS. THE REMNANTS OF
   TROPICAL STORM CINDY WILL REINFORCE THE LARGE SCALE TROUGH IN PLACE
   FROM THE GULF COAST THROUGH THE OH VALLEY.
   
   ...AZ...
   SYNOPTIC SCALE WINDS WILL TEND TO BE WEAK ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST...BUT
   THERMALLY DRIVEN CIRCULATIONS MAY SUPPORT LOCALLY BREEZY TO WINDY
   CONDITIONS. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 5-15 PERCENT...BUT
   WITH A LACK OF AN ORGANIZED JET TO ENHANCE WINDS...ANY THREAT FOR
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SHOULD BE RATHER ISOLD OR
   ASSOCIATED WITH AN ONGOING LARGE FIRE. 
   
   ...DRY TSTM POTENTIAL...
   ISOLD DRY TSTMS MAY OCCUR ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SWRN MTNS OF MT
   THROUGH PORTIONS OF WY/CNTRL CO/CNTRL NM. COVERAGE MAY BE GREATER
   ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES WHERE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE WILL BE
   MAXIMIZED.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 07/06/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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