Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 070858
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0358 AM CDT THU JUL 07 2005
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   FIRE WEATHER PATTERN WILL BE DOMINATED BY A LARGE RIDGE ACROSS THE
   SOUTHWEST AND A TROUGH ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION. MEAN RIDGE
   WILL BUILD INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY AHEAD OF AMPLIFYING LEAD
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING INTO WRN ONTARIO. WEAK SFC FRONT WILL EXTEND
   ACROSS MT DURING THE DAY AND MAY TRIGGER SOME SHOWERS/TSTMS ACROSS
   THE DAKOTAS BY LATE IN THE DAY/OVERNIGHT. MEANWHILE...REMNANTS OF
   TROPICAL SYSTEM WILL TRACK NEWD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC
   STATES...SPREADING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST/CAROLINA
   PIEDMONT.  
   
   ...SOUTHWEST...
   SYNOPTIC SCALE WINDS SHOULD BE RELATIVELY LIGHT WITH MID LEVEL FLOW
   ONLY AROUND 15 KT. HOWEVER THERMALLY INDUCED WINDS MAY BE GUSTY AT
   TIMES...AND MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL CONTINUE TO RANGE FROM 5-15
   PERCENT.
   
   ...DRY TSTMS...
   THE COMBINATION OF VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES...DIURNAL HEATING AND
   OROGRAPHIC INFLUENCES WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW HIGH BASED TSTMS
   ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE ROCKIES. THERMAL RIDGE WILL BE STRENGTHENING
   ACROSS WY/CO/NM AND THIS WILL TEND TO INHIBIT TSTMS...SO COVERAGE OF
   ANY DRY LIGHTNING SHOULD BE MINIMAL. UPSLOPE FLOW IN THE HIGH PLAINS
   OF ERN NM/W TX WILL RESULT IN A GREATER COVERAGE OF STORMS...SOME OF
   WHICH WILL LIKELY BECOME SEVERE AND CONTAIN HEAVY RAIN AS THEY
   BECOME AN ORGANIZED COMPLEX BY EVENING.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 07/07/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 070900
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0400 AM CDT THU JUL 07 2005
   
   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS/CNTRL CANADIAN
   PLAINS...IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANTLY DEEPENING TROUGH MOVING INTO
   THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST REGION ON FRIDAY. FARTHER EAST...GREAT LAKES
   LOW WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO DEEPEN...AS IT INTERACTS WITH REMAINS OF
   TROPICAL SYSTEM. SFC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH
   STRONG UPPER SYSTEM IN THE NORTHWEST...WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING
   FROM NW MT INTO SE ORE BY FRI AFTN. 
   
   ...DRY TSTMS...
   SUFFICIENT MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL
   SUPPORT ISOLD HIGH BASED DRY TSTMS OVER THE CNTRL/SRN ROCKIES.
   STORMS DEVELOPING IN THE HIGH PLAINS WITHIN THE UPSLOPE FLOW REGIME
   WILL BE HIGH BASED BUT MAY ALSO CONTAIN SOME HEAVY DOWNPOURS.
   FARTHER NORTH ACROSS PORTIONS OF MT...WINDS ALOFT WILL BE MUCH
   STRONGER WHICH WILL INCREASE THE CHANCE FOR SEVERE STORMS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 07/07/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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