Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 080926
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0426 AM CDT FRI JUL 08 2005
VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
LARGE RIDGE WILL SLOWLY BUILD EWD INTO THE NRN/CNTRL PLAINS AS
SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPS ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.
LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS DOWNSTREAM OF THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW
MID/UPPER LEVEL JET TO PENETRATE FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE GREAT
BASIN. AT LOWER LEVELS...SFC COLD FRONT WILL DEVELOP ACROSS CNTRL
ORE...EVENTUALLY MOVING INTO WRN MT/SRN ID BY EARLY SATURDAY.
...SE ORE/NRN NV...
WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF APPROACHING LARGE SCALE TROUGH...WITHIN
WARM SECTOR AIRMASS ACROSS MUCH OF ERN ORE THIS AFTN. SUSTAINED SFC
WINDS OF 15-25 MPH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 15 PERCENT
EXCEPT ACROSS FAR SE ORE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 90S OVER NRN
NV...WITH RH VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS. HOWEVER WINDS WILL NOT BE
AS STRONG AS FARTHER NORTH...WITH THE BREEZIEST CONDITIONS ON THE
ERN SLOPES OF THE SIERRA.
...DRY TSTMS...
MOISTURE RETURN INTO SE AZ ON THURSDAY ALLOWED A FEW TSTMS TO
DEVELOP DURING THE AFTN/EVENING...IN ADDITION TO STORMS ACROSS THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE IN NM. CONVECTION WILL AGAIN FORM IN THESE SAME
AREAS TODAY...AS WELL AS IN THE CNTRL/SRN ROCKIES. GIVEN VERY LARGE
DEWPOINT DEPRESSION VALUES...MOST OF THESE STORMS WILL CONTAIN
LITTLE OR NO RAIN AT THE GROUND. IN ADDITION STRONG/SVR WIND GUSTS
ARE POSSIBLE NEAR COLLAPSING UPDRAFTS.
..TAYLOR.. 07/08/2005
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 080927
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0427 AM CDT FRI JUL 08 2005
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT EWD INTO ONTARIO ON SATURDAY...AS THE FIRST OF
A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ACCELERATE INTO THE NRN PLAINS. BAND
OF MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN...INCREASING TO AROUND 40-50 KT. SFC LOW
PRESSURE/LEE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE HIGH PLAINS BY SATURDAY
AFTN...WITH STRONG SLY FLOW INCREASING FROM THE CNTRL PLAINS.
MEANWHILE...COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS WRN/CNTRL MT WITH GUSTY W/SW
SFC WINDS AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY.
...GREAT BASIN/SRN ID...
REGION WILL BE LOCATED ON THE SRN PERIPHERY OF STRONGER
WESTERLIES...WHICH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO BREEZY/WINDY CONDITIONS DURING
THE AFTN/EVENING. IT APPEARS CONDITIONS MAY REMAIN JUST BELOW THE
CRITERIA FOR A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA.
...DRY TSTMS...
ISOLD HIGH BASED MAINLY DRY STORMS WILL DEVELOP ON
SATURDAY...LARGELY CONFINED TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS WITHIN THE
CNTRL/SRN ROCKIES. ISOLD STORMS MAY FORM FROM EXTREME SE AZ...ALONG
THE DIVIDE THROUGH CNTRL NM/CO. VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES AND VERY DRY
SFC AIRMASS WILL PREVENT MUCH PRECIPITATION FROM REACHING THE
GROUND. DRIER AIR MOVING IN AT MID LEVELS SHOULD HELP SUPPRESS ANY
CONVECTION ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN INTO UT/SW WY. STRONG WIND GUSTS
ARE LIKELY NEAR TSTMS.
..TAYLOR.. 07/08/2005
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home