Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 090713
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0213 AM CDT SAT JUL 09 2005
   
   VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
   OF THE SRN ROCKIES...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   STRONG 500MB RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS ESEWD TO
   THE CAROLINAS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD.
   UPSTREAM UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE NWRN CONUS WILL TRANSLATE INLAND
   ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES WHILE ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT
   TRANSLATES SEWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. BY EARLY THIS
   EVENING...SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM FAR ERN MT SWWD ACROSS
   CENTRAL WY AND INTO THE NRN GREAT BASIN. SOUTH OF THE FRONT...700MB
   THERMAL RIDGE WILL EXTEND FROM WRN NM NNEWD ALONG THE FRONT RANGE
   AND INTO THE WRN DAKOTAS. FIRE WEATHER THREATS WILL FOCUS ON DRY
   THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES AND MODERATE SURFACE
   WINDS AND HOT TEMPERATURES JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT IN THE
   CENTRAL INTERMOUNTAIN WEST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SERN AZ...AND W-CENTRAL/SWRN NM...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS / DRY
   FUEL CONDITIONS
   
   MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE WEAK INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH
   LINGERING MID-LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES AREA. BEST
   INVERTED-V THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES SHOULD EXIST FROM THE WRN SLOPES
   OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MTNS WWD ACROSS W-CENTRAL/SWRN NM. ISOLATED
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR SERN AZ. AREAS OF DRY
   FUELS EXIST ACROSS THIS REGION...SUGGESTING A LIGHTNING INITIATION
   WILDFIRE HAZARD AS WELL AS LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS NEAR HIGH-BASED
   STORMS. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL BE MAXIMIZED DURING THE PEAK
   HEATING HOURS FROM LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS
   WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE THEREAFTER. HIGH TEMPERATURES AT LOWER
   ELEVATIONS WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 90S.
   
   ...CENTRAL WY...NRN/WRN UT...N-CENTRAL NV...
   
   AXIS OF VERY LOW RH VALUES /10-15 PERCENT/ WILL EXTEND FROM THE
   CENTRAL GREAT BASIN NEWD ACROSS CENTRAL WY JUST IN ADVANCE OF THE
   SURFACE COLD FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE MID TO UPPER 90S AT
   LOWER ELEVATIONS...WITH A FEW 100F HIGHS ACROSS THE WIND RIVER BASIN
   OF CENTRAL WY. MID-LEVEL WINDS ON SRN/SERN PERIPHERY OF UPPER TROUGH
   WILL CONTRIBUTE TO SWLY SURFACE WINDS OF 15-20 MPH DURING THE PEAK
   HEATING HOURS WHEN VERTICAL MIXING IS MAXIMIZED. SUSTAINED WINDS
   SHOULD REMAIN GENERALLY JUST BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS.
   
   ..BANACOS.. 07/09/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 090711
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0211 AM CDT SAT JUL 09 2005
   
   VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD...BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL TRANSLATE EWD INTO
   THE NRN PLAINS REGION. ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL BRING
   COOLER TEMPERATURES TO THE FAR WRN DAKOTAS AND MUCH OF CENTRAL/NRN
   WY AND MT ON SUNDAY. SURFACE FRONT WILL BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY WWD
   ACROSS THE NRN GREAT BASIN...AND SHOULD WEAKEN AS SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
   BUILDS EWD FROM THE ERN PACIFIC INTO THE WRN GREAT BASIN. SEASONABLY
   HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST SOUTH OF THE FRONTAL ZONE INTO
   THE SWRN CONUS. SURFACE WINDS GENERALLY 15 MPH OR LESS IN THE
   CENTRAL AND SRN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION WILL MITIGATE FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT.
   
   ...WRN/CENTRAL NM AND SERN AZ...
   
   AS MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BUILDS EWD TOWARD THE FOUR CORNERS
   AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON...POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD DRY THUNDERSTORMS
   SHOULD DECREASE ACROSS THE MTNS OF WRN/CENTRAL NM AND SERN AZ.
   ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE BASED ON FORECAST
   SOUNDINGS ACROSS CENTRAL/S-CENTRAL NM...HOWEVER...COVERAGE OF STORMS
   IS NOT EXPECTED TO WARRANT A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA.
   
   ..BANACOS.. 07/09/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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