Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 120649
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0149 AM CDT TUE JUL 12 2005
   
   VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   LARGE UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE WRN U.S...WITH VERY HOT AND
   DRY WEATHER.  WIND SPEEDS WILL BE MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN...EXCEPT
   ACROSS WA / NRN ID / WRN MT...WHERE A COOL FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
   CAUSING GUSTY WLY WINDS. ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR OVER
   PORTIONS OF WRN NM AND ERN AZ...AS MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY BEGIN TO
   INCREASE ON SRN FRINGE OF UPPER HIGH.
   
   ...WRN NM / ERN AZ...
   IT WILL ONCE AGAIN BE VERY HOT AND DRY...WITH MIN RH VALUES INTO THE
   SINGLE DIGITS BY AFTERNOON. VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES REMAIN IN PLACE
   WHICH WILL MEAN A MDT TO HIGH HAINES INDEX BY AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON
   WIND GUSTS WILL BE MOSTLY TERRAIN DRIVEN.
   
   WEAK ELY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BRING INCREASING MOISTURE INTO THE
   REGION...AND BY AFTERNOON ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY
   OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF WRN NM...POSSIBLY INTO ERN AZ NEAR THE
   WHITE MTNS. GIVEN DRY FUELS AND EXTREMELY HIGH ERC VALUES...ANY
   LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY CAUSE FIRE STARTS.
   
   ...WA / NRN ID / WRN MT...
   STRONG UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED JET MAX WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
   TODAY...HELPING TO BRING A WEAK PACIFIC FRONT ACROSS WA AND INTO NRN
   ID / WRN MT BY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO WLY AND AVERAGE 10-20
   MPH...WHILE RH DIPS INTO THE 20 PERCENT RANGE. RH RECOVERY WILL BE
   VERY GOOD MOST PLACES OVERNIGHT WITH COOL TEMPERATURES.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 07/12/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 120651
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0151 AM CDT TUE JUL 12 2005
   
   VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER RIDGE WILL FLATTEN ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES...AS PROGRESSIVE
   UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE NRN TIER OF STATES. THIS WILL BRING A
   COLD FRONT INTO CENTRAL MT WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY...AND SHIFT A
   PLUME OF HOT AND DRY AIR EWD INTO THE NRN PLAINS AHEAD OF THIS
   FRONT. FARTHER S...VERY HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER
   THE SWRN DESERTS AND GREAT BASIN WITH A HIGH HAINES INDEX
   PRACTICALLY EVERYWHERE.  MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS
   NM AND INTO ERN AZ...WITH A MIXTURE OF WET AND DRY STORMS OVER THE
   HIGH TERRAIN.
   
   ...ERN AZ / WRN NM...
   ALTHOUGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL INCREASE INTO THE
   0.50"-0.75" RANGE...THIS MOISTURE WILL BE MIXED THROUGH A VERY DEEP
   LAYER WITH HOT TEMPERATURES AT THE SURFACE. THUS...LITTLE RAIN WILL
   OCCUR. SOME STORMS WILL LIKELY BE DRY WITH VERY GUSTY
   WINDS...ESPECIALLY ON THE WRN FRINGE OF WHERE STORMS DEVELOP. GIVEN
   EXTREMELY HIGH ERC VALUES...STARTS STILL MAY OCCUR GIVEN ABSENCE OF
   HEAVY RAINS.
   
   ...CENTRAL MT / NWRN WY...
   NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ON WED AFTERNOON...IN ASSOCIATION
   WITH A COLD FRONT THAT WILL BE DRAPED ACROSS CENTRAL MT INTO NWRN
   WY. STORMS MAY BE DRY AT FIRST GIVEN EXPECTED HOT TEMPERATURES AND
   RH VALUES OF 15-20 PERCENT...BUT WILL QUICKLY EVOLVE INTO LINES OR
   CLUSTERS OF STORMS WITH SOME PRECIPITATION AND VERY STRONG WINDS.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 07/12/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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