Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 140843
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0343 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2005
   
   VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CENTRAL AND ERN AZ TO THE NM
   BORDER...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   STRONG UPPER HIGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE FOUR CORNERS AND GREAT
   BASIN...WITH VERY HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS. MOISTURE WILL BE PRESENT
   TO CAUSE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE
   CENTRAL AND SRN ROCKIES...WITH MAINLY DRY STORMS OVER AZ AND UT.
   FARTHER N...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EWD FROM THE WRN
   DAKOTAS...CAUSING A WIND SHIFT TO NWLY BEHIND THE FRONT WHERE IT
   WILL BE WARM AND DRY.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - CENTRAL AND ERN AZ TO THE NM
   BORDER...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SCATTERED DRY LIGHTNING / LOW RH
   
   SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR TODAY...AND WILL AGAIN BE
   CONCENTRATED ALONG THE AZ/NM BORDER WWD ALONG THE MOGOLLON RIM.
   SURFACE RH WILL BE LOW AT 10-15 PERCENT IN ADVANCE OF STORM
   DEVELOPMENT...WHICH WILL PROVIDE AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR DRY
   LIGHTNING. STORMS WILL BE MOSTLY WET INTO NM...WHERE RAINFALL HAS
   OCCURRED RECENTLY.
   
   ...WRN SD / SERN MT / NERN WY...
   WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NWLY EARLY IN THE PERIOD...AND WILL INCREASE TO
   15-20 MPH DURING THE DAYTIME. RH WILL BE MARGINALLY LOW NEAR 25
   PERCENT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 07/14/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 140910
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0410 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2005
   
   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE GREAT BASIN...WHILE NRN EDGE OF THE
   RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN IN RESPONSE TO A STRONG SHORTWAVE
   TROUGH ENTERING THE PACIFIC NW. WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE REGION
   AS A RESULT...WITH HOT TEMPERATURES AND LOW RH. ISOLATED DRY
   THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR OVER NERN NV...MUCH OF UT...AND CENTRAL AZ.
   
   ...ERN WA AND OREGON / ID / WRN MT...
   STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA...AND WILL CAUSE WLY
   WINDS TO INCREASE. DOWNSLOPE WLY FLOW OF 15-20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS
   APPEAR LIKELY E OF THE CASCADES. RH LEVELS WILL BE LOW DUE TO
   DOWNSLOPE FLOW...WITH VALUES OF 20-25 PERCENT. LATER IN THE EVENING
   AND OVERNIGHT...DRY THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR WITH THIS STRENGTHENING
   TROUGH. ALTHOUGH NIGHTTIME...WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE WHICH MAY
   KEEP RH LOW.
   
   ...NRN CA / NV...
   IT WILL BE EXTREMELY HOT ON FRIDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR 105 IN
   MANY SPOTS. RH WILL REMAIN LOW AND IN THE TEENS. WINDS WILL PICK UP
   COMPARED TO PREVIOUS DAYS...WITH WLY FLOW AROUND 15 MPH. DUE TO
   EXTREMELY HOT CONDITIONS WITH HIGH HAINES...EFFECTS OF MARGINAL WIND
   SPEEDS MAY BE MAGNIFIED.
   
   ...CENTRAL UT...
   AT LEAST ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR DURING THE AFTERNOON
   HOURS...WITH VERY HOT TEMPERATURES ABOVE 100 AND RH LEVELS LESS THAN
   15 PERCENT. STORMS WILL BE MOST NUMEROUS OVER THE WASATCH AND SOUTH
   CENTRAL MTNS. HAINES INDEX WILL BE HIGH AS WELL.
   
   ...CENTRAL AZ...
   ISOLATED DRY STORMS WILL BE LIKELY ALONG THE MOGOLLON RIM ON
   FRIDAY...WITH HOT TEMPERATURES AND MIN RH NEAR 15 PERCENT. WLY WINDS
   WILL BE LIGHT AT 5-10 MPH.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 07/14/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home