Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 111002
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0502 AM CDT SUN SEP 11 2005
   
   VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW LARGE UPPER
   LEVEL CIRCULATION ACROSS THE NORTHWEST...WITH SEVERAL SMALLER SCALE
   WAVES ROTATING AROUND IT. TROUGH AXIS WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL REMAIN
   ELONGATED ACROSS MUCH OF THE WRN STATES THROUGH MONDAY ASSOCIATED
   WITH VERY COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT /NEAR -24C AT 500 MB/. VIGOROUS
   MID/UPPER LEVEL JET WILL EVENTUALLY ROUND THE BASE OF THE TROUGH BY
   EARLY MONDAY...AS MAIN UPPER LOW LIFTS RAPIDLY NEWD INTO
   SASKATCHEWAN/MANITOBA. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM
   CNTRL SD INTO SRN WY/CNTRL UT BY TONIGHT. STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED
   AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS MUCH OF THE GREAT BASIN/SRN UT.
   
   ...SRN GREAT BASIN/SRN UT...
   STEEP LAPSE RATES AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL ALLOW THE BOUNDARY
   LAYER TO BECOME DEEPLY MIXED...AND SUSTAINED SFC WINDS OF 20-30 MPH
   ARE LIKELY WITH HIGHER GUSTS. TEMPERATURES ARE NOT GOING TO BE
   OVERLY WARM ACROSS THE NRN GREAT BASIN/NRN UT...MAINLY IN THE
   60/70S. BUT SOUTH OF THE FRONT...TEMPS IN THE 80S/90S ARE EXPECTED.
   MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL DIP BELOW 15 PERCENT DURING THE TIME OF MAX
   HEATING...AND RECENT FIRE DANGER CLASS OBSERVATIONS RANGE FROM HIGH
   TO EXTREME. HOWEVER...THE GREATEST THREAT SHOULD BE CONFINED TO
   PORTIONS OF SRN NV AND SRN UT OVER A RELATIVELY SMALL AREA.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 09/11/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 111002
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0502 AM CDT SUN SEP 11 2005
   
   VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY ACROSS THE ERN CANADIAN PROVINCES IN ADVANCE OF
   LEAD MANITOBA SHORTWAVE. ALTHOUGH MAIN JET MAX WILL BE FOCUSED
   ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS...THERE WILL BE A BROAD AREA OF 30-45KT MID
   LEVEL FLOW EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHWEST INTO THE PLAINS. IN
   ADDITION...THERE WILL BE STRONG MID LEVEL FLOW DOWNSTREAM OF THE
   RIDGE AXIS ACROSS NEW ENGLAND.
   
   ...SRN NEW ENGLAND...
   DRY CONDITIONS OVER AN EXTENDED PERIOD HAVE INCREASED THE FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT ACROSS THE REGION. THE AMPLIFYING UPPER RIDGE AND THE
   ASSOCIATED WARM AIR ADVECTION PATTERN WILL RESULT IN TEMPS CLIMBING
   INTO THE 80S/90S ON MONDAY. IN ADDITION NW WINDS WILL BE RATHER
   STRONG...IN THE 15-25 MPH RANGE. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE MONITORED
   FOR A POSSIBLE UPGRADE IN THE NEXT FORECAST.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 09/11/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home