Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 120829
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0329 AM CDT MON SEP 12 2005
   
   VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW IN CNTRL MANITOBA WILL CONTINUE LIFTING
   NEWD TOWARD HUDSON BAY...WHILE SECONDARY WAVE MOVES INTO THE NRN
   HIGH PLAINS TODAY. IN RESPONSE TO ADVANCING TROUGHS...UPPER LEVEL
   RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY ACROSS THE NEW ENGLAND STATES. SFC PRESSURE
   GRADIENT BETWEEN DEPARTING QUEBEC SYSTEM AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
   MID ATLANTIC STATES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO STRONG WLY WINDS ACROSS NEW
   ENGLAND...INCREASING FIRE CONCERNS. LOW PRESSURE IN THE LEE OF THE
   ROCKIES ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS WILL DEEPEN TODAY INDUCING A STRONG
   SLY FLOW ACROSS THE PLAINS.
   
   ...SRN NEW ENGLAND...
   A STRONG W/NWLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP TODAY ACROSS THE REGION IN THE
   WAKE OF A SYSTEM NOW MOVING INTO THE NRN ATLANTIC. THE COMPRESSIONAL
   WARMING DUE TO THE DOWNSLOPE WINDS COMBINED WITH WARM AMBIENT
   TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TO RECORD HIGH TEMPS
   AT THE SFC...FROM THE UPPER 80S/MID 90S. IN ADDITION TIGHT GRADIENT
   WILL SUPPORT SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE 15-25 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
   30-35 MPH POSSIBLE. MANY AREAS HAVE NOT RECEIVED RAIN IN THE LAST
   1-2 WEEKS...SO FUELS HAVE BEEN STEADILY DRYING. RECENT KBDI VALUES
   ARE GENERALLY ABOVE 300...WITH SOME AREAS ABOVE 400 INDICATIVE OF
   THE DRIER CONDITIONS. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL GENERALLY BE ABOVE 30
   PERCENT WITH MINIMUM DEWPOINT TEMPS IN THE UPPER 50S/LOWER 60S...AND
   THIS WILL BE A MITIGATING FACTOR IN A LARGE SCALE OUTLOOK ISSUANCE.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 09/12/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 120829
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0329 AM CDT MON SEP 12 2005
   
   VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   PATTERN AT UPPER LEVELS WILL FEATURE LARGE SCALE TROUGH CENTERED
   ACROSS NWRN ONTARIO WITH HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER RIDGE SHIFTING INTO
   THE NRN ATLANTIC. A STRONG SRN STREAM WILL DEVELOP WITH MODERATE WLY
   FLOW EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHWEST INTO THE SRN PLAINS. AT LOWER
   LEVELS...A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE WRN GREAT LAKES INTO IA
   WILL MAKE EWD PROGRESS DURING THE DAY...WHILE TRAILING PORTION OF
   THE FRONT WILL SAG SLOWLY ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE. WIDESPREAD
   SHOWERS/TSTMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF FRONT FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST
   INTO THE SRN PLAINS. ACROSS THE WEST...HEIGHTS WILL BEGIN TO RISE AS
   HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES FORECAST ON WEDNESDAY.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 09/12/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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