Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 280852
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0352 AM CDT WED SEP 28 2005
   
   VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS TODAY.
   AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL PUSH RAPIDLY SOUTH THROUGH THE
   CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS AND MIDWEST...EXTENDING FROM THE ERN GREAT LAKES
   TO SOUTH TX BY 29/12Z. BEHIND THE FRONT...SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 20-30
   MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR 6+ HRS. COMBINED
   WITH MIN RH READINGS AROUND 30 PERCENT OVER PORTIONS OF NRN
   OK/KS...A THREAT FOR WIND DRIVEN FIRES WILL OCCUR IN THIS AREA.
   HOWEVER LACK OF DROUGHT AND CLIMATOLOGY WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   MEANWHILE AN UPPER LOW WILL MOVE LITTLE OVER THE FOUR CORNERS. THE
   COMBINATION OF LIFT WITH THE UPPER LOW AND MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL
   LEAD TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE SRN ROCKIES.
   FARTHER WEST...UPPER RIDGING WILL OCCUR OVER THE WEST COAST. ABOVE
   NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LOW RH READINGS WILL RESULT OVER MUCH OF THE
   NRN ROCKIES/INTERIOR PAC NW SWD INTO CA/GREAT BASIN. LACK OF
   SUSTAINED WINDS ABOVE 10 MPH WILL PRECLUDE ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 09/28/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 280858
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0358 AM CDT WED SEP 28 2005
   
   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER RIDGING WILL BREAKDOWN OVER THE NRN ROCKIES DURING DAY TWO AS
   STRONG ZONAL FLOW DEVELOPS FROM THE ERN PACIFIC ACROSS SRN CANADA
   SOUTH OF A STRONG UPPER TROUGH OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA. THE
   INCREASING WLY MID LEVEL FLOW WILL AID IN STRENGTHENING SFC WLY
   WINDS OVER THE NRN ROCKIES/NRN HIGH PLAINS. MEANWHILE...THE UPPER
   LOW OVER THE FOUR CORNERS IS FCST TO MOVE LITTLE ON DAY TWO...WITH A
   CONTINUATION OF SCT THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SRN ROCKIES.
   
   ...MT...
   WEST OF A DEVELOPING LEE TROUGH OVER THE PLAINS OF ERN
   MT...STRENGTHENING WLY MID LEVEL FLOW COUPLED WITH STEEP LOW-MID
   LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT INCREASING SFC WINDS OVER THE REGION.
   RECENT MODEL FCSTS INDICATE SUSTAINED WINDS COULD INCREASE TO
   BETWEEN 20-25 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. MIN RH READINGS WILL
   BE APPROACHING 15 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON DUE TO PRESENCE OF
   SEASONABLY DRY AIR AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER
   70S/LOWER 80S. AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT ON DAY ONE.
   
   ...SERN AZ...
   SFC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL NOSE
   INTO CENTRAL NM DURING THE MORNING HOURS. STRONG ESELY SFC WINDS
   FROM 20-25 MPH WILL LIKELY RESULT ACROSS ERN AZ...WHERE STRONGEST
   PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL EXIST IN THE MORNING. THE COMBINATION OF
   WEAKENING WINDS EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH DECREASE IN THE
   PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG WITH POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT-MOD PRECIP ACROSS
   THE AREA ON DAY ONE WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 09/28/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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