Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 010908
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0408 AM CDT SAT OCT 01 2005
VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SE ORE/NE CA/SRN ID/SCNTRL MT/NRN
NV/NW UT...
...SYNOPSIS...
WRN UPPER TROUGH WILL DEEPEN SIGNIFICANTLY THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD WITH INCREASING MID LEVEL FLOW IN EXCESS OF 80 KT.
SIGNIFICANT LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS WILL SUPPORT LEE CYCLOGENESIS
ACROSS ERN MT/WY DURING THE DAY. MEANWHILE A POTENT COLD FRONT NOW
LOCATED ACROSS ERN WA/NW ORE WILL MOVE SEWD ACROSS NRN CA/SE ORE/SW
ID BY LATE AFTN. GUSTY W/SW WINDS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE
BOUNDARY...WHICH COMBINED WITH LOW RH VALUES AND ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPS...WILL CONTRIBUTE TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE NRN ROCKIES/NRN GREAT BASIN. FARTHER EAST INVOF THE
LEE TROUGH...HUMIDITY VALUES WILL ALSO BE LOW BUT SUSTAINED SFC
WINDS WILL REMAIN AOB 20 MPH.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SE ORE/NE CA/SRN ID/SCNTRL MT/NRN
NV/NW UT...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SFC WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS/MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT/DRY FUELS
LATEST MODELS SUGGEST CLOUDS/PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH LARGE
SCALE ASCENT/APPROACHING FRONT WILL LIMIT POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF ORE...EXCEPT FOR THE FAR
SOUTHEAST. MODERATE PRECIPITATION OCCURRING EARLY THIS MORNING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NW ORE/SE WA WILL MOVE ACROSS MUCH OF THE STATE
EARLY TODAY. HOWEVER...SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY SFC WINDS WILL INCREASE
INTO THE 15-25 MPH RANGE WITH HIGHER GUSTS ABOVE 35 MPH POSSIBLE.
WINDS WILL BE EVEN STRONGER ACROSS SCNTRL/SE MT. SFC DEWPOINTS IN
THE TEENS WITH HIGH TEMPS IN THE UPPER 70S/LOWER 80S WILL RESULT IN
MINIMUM RH VALUES AROUND 10-15 PERCENT. FUELS HAVE BEEN DRYING THE
PAST FEW DAYS WITH LATEST NFDRS FIRE DANGER CLASS OBS IN THE
HIGH/VERY HIGH RANGE.
..TAYLOR.. 10/01/2005
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 010908
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0408 AM CDT SAT OCT 01 2005
VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NV/PORTIONS OF WY AND UT...
...SYNOPSIS...
MAIN UPPER LOW WILL MOVE INTO SASKATCHEWAN BY SUNDAY EVENING WITH
SHORTWAVE RIDGING ACROSS BC/NRN ROCKIES. NEXT IN A SERIES OF UPPER
STORM SYSTEMS WILL BE APPROACHING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST DEEPENING
THE LARGE SCALE TROUGH ACROSS THE WEST. AS THE UPPER JET SHIFTS SWD
ACROSS CNTRL CA INTO THE GREAT BASIN...THREAT FOR STRONG SFC
WINDS/LOW RH WILL BE CONFINED TO THE SOUTH SIDE OF AN ELONGATED COLD
FRONT.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN NV/PORTIONS OF WY AND UT...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 15-30 MPH/MINIMUM RH VALUES
BELOW 15 PERCENT/DRY FUELS
ANOTHER WINDY DRY DAY IS EXPECTED FOR PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL AND SRN
GREAT BASIN THROUGH UT/WY ON SUNDAY. SFC COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM
ERN ND/SRN WY/CNTRL NV BY EARLY SUNDAY EVENING. AHEAD OF THE FRONT
SW WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 15-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH IN SOME
LOCATIONS. SOME UNCERTAINTY EXISTS WITH REGARD TO MAX TEMP/FRONTAL
POSITION AND POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION ALONG THE FRONT. GENERALLY
COOLER TEMPS ARE FORECAST WHICH MAY KEEP RH VALUES HIGHER.
..TAYLOR.. 10/01/2005
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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