Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 170745
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0245 AM CDT MON OCT 17 2005
   
   VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY JUST OFF THE SRN CA COAST
   THROUGH THE PERIOD. AREAS OF MODERATE RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY THIS
   SYSTEM ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. FARTHER NORTH...A
   STRONG UPPER SYSTEM WILL PROGRESS SEWD ACROSS SWRN CANADA AND INTO
   THE NRN PLAINS. DESPITE STRONG SFC WINDS THAT WILL ACCOMPANY THIS
   SYSTEM...MIN RH READINGS WILL NOT FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT. ELSEWHERE
   ACROSS THE NATION THE ONLY OTHER AREA OF FIRE WEATHER RELATED
   CONCERN WILL BE OVER THE SERN STATES WHERE ANOTHER DAY OF LOW RH
   READINGS WILL OCCUR. GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   ANOTHER DAY OF LOW RH READINGS WILL OCCUR AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
   CENTER MOVES INTO THE REGION. MILD TEMPERATURES IN THE 75-85 DEGREE
   RANGE WITH DEWPTS IN THE 40-50 DEGREE RANGE WILL SUPPORT MIN RH
   READINGS AROUND 30 PERCENT FOR MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON. GIVEN
   GENERALLY WEAK SUSTAINED WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...A CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT OUTLOOK AREA WILL NOT BE ISSUED. 
   
   ...MT...
   SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 30-40 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 50 MPH WILL BE
   POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NRN MT...CLOSEST TO A STRONG MID LEVEL
   WIND MAX THAT WILL BE MOVING SEWD OUT OF CANADA. COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF
   MID/HIGH CLOUD COVER EVIDENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY WILL LIMIT
   AFTERNOON HEATING WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING GENERALLY IN THE 60S.
   WITH DEWPTS NOT APPRECIABLY LOW /35-40 DEG F/...MIN RH READINGS ARE
   FCST TO BE IN THE 25-35 PERCENT RANGE. THUS A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 10/17/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 170746
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0246 AM CDT MON OCT 17 2005
   
   VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE UPPER LOW OFF THE SRN CA COAST SHOULD OPEN UP AND BEGIN TO MOVE
   EWD INTO THE SWRN STATES ON DAY TWO. AREAS OF MODERATE RAINFALL WILL
   OCCUR ALONG THE PATH OF THIS SYSTEM FROM SRN CA INTO THE FOUR
   CORNERS REGION. APPROACH OF THE UPPER SYSTEM FROM THE WEST WILL AID
   IN INTENSIFYING THE LEE TROUGH/DRYLINE AND AN INCREASE IN SSWLY
   SURFACE WINDS OVER THE HIGH PLAINS. ATTM...NO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONCERNS ARE APPARENT IN THIS AREA AS MIN RH READINGS SHOULD REMAIN
   SUFFICIENTLY HIGH /ABOVE 20 PERCENT/. FURTHER EAST...THE SURFACE
   HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SERN STATES WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE OUT OF THE
   REGION. DESPITE A SLOW INCREASE IN MOISTURE...WARMER TEMPERATURES
   WILL AID IN MAINTAINING MIN RH READINGS AROUND 30 PERCENT.
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   ALTHOUGH DEWPTS ARE LIKELY TO BE A LITTLE HIGHER THAN ON DAY ONE... 
   GENERALLY IN THE 45-55 DEG F RANGE...WARMER TEMPERATURES WITH
   READINGS GENERALLY IN THE 80S WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS FROM
   30-35 PERCENT. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IN THE REGION WILL AGAIN
   SUPPORT WEAK SUSTAINED WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 10/17/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home