Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 190851
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0351 AM CDT WED OCT 19 2005
   
   VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR CLEARLY INDICATES UPPER LOW NEAR THE FOUR
   CORNERS REGION...WITH ANOTHER UPPER SYSTEM APPROACHING THE ORE
   COAST. SW UPPER LOW WILL EVOLVE INTO AN OPEN WAVE THIS AFTN AND
   EVENING AS IT MOVES ACROSS SE CO INTO SCNTRL KS. MODERATELY STRONG
   MID LEVEL JET / 60-65 KT/ WILL ACCOMPANY UPPER SYSTEM. AT THE
   SFC...COLD FRONT NOW ACROSS CNTRL KS WILL CONTINUE TO SURGE SWD AS
   HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST. MEANWHILE...DRYLINE
   WILL BECOME BETTER DEFINED ACROSS ERN NM/TX PANHANDLE.
   
   ...ERN NM/TX PANHANDLE/S PLAINS...
   MINIMUM RH VALUES SHOULD GENERALLY BE ABOVE 25 PERCENT TODAY WHICH
   WILL MITIGATE THE POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   APPROACH OF UPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED INCREASED MID/UPPER WIND SPEEDS
   WILL HELP STEEPEN LAPSE RATES BY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTN. FORECAST
   SOUNDINGS AND NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGEST SFC DEWPOINTS WILL FALL
   AROUND 10-15 DEGREES NEAR DRYLINE AND ZONE OF DEEPER MIXING. THE TOP
   OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL BE NEAR 700MB AND WITHIN THIS
   LAYER...SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE
   LIKELY.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 10/19/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 190852
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0352 AM CDT WED OCT 19 2005
   
   VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS APPEAR TO BE MINIMAL ACROSS THE CONUS ON THU.
   SRN PLAINS UPPER LOW WILL BE LOCATED ACROSS SE KS BY EARLY THU
   MORNING AND WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES EWD INTO THE TN VALLEY WITHIN
   MODERATE W/NW FLOW ALOFT. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL DROP SEWD
   FROM SASKATCHEWAN/MANITOBA LATE IN THE PERIOD...AND A WARM ADVECTION
   PATTERN WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS AHEAD OF THIS
   SYSTEM DURING THE DAY ON THU. INITIAL SFC COLD FRONT NOW OVER THE
   CNTRL PLAINS WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER INTO NCNTRL AR BY
   EARLY THU EVENING. IN THE WEST...UPPER RIDGE AMPLIFIES ACROSS THE
   PACIFIC NORTHWEST IN RESPONSE TO UPSTREAM SYSTEM IN THE ERN PACIFIC.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 10/19/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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