Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 240629
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0129 AM CDT MON OCT 24 2005
   
   VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER FLOW PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CONUS
   THIS PERIOD. LARGE AND UNSEASONABLY COLD UPPER TROUGH CENTERED OVER
   THE OH RIVER VALLEY WILL SHIFT EWD INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS BY
   25/12Z. STRONG UPPER RIDGE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
   IN ADVANCE OF UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING EWD INTO CENTRAL CA
   BY THIS EVENING.
   
   ...SRN AL...SWRN GA...AND THE CENTRAL/WRN FL PANHANDLE...
   
   DESPITE PASSAGE OF HURRICANE WILMA ACROSS THE SRN FL PENINSULA THIS
   MORNING...TROPICAL AIR MASS IS SEPARATED BY STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS
   CENTRAL FL AND STRONG LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE GRADIENT. SURFACE DEWPOINTS
   IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S ARE PRESENT ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE.
   SECONDARY COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH DIGGING UPPER TROUGH INTO THE
   CENTRAL GULF COAST AREA WILL MOVE RAPIDLY THROUGH THE NERN GULF
   COAST AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS MORNING. DEWPOINTS ARE
   GENERALLY IN THE 30S EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS NRN AL/MS BEHIND THE
   SECONDARY FRONT.
   
   STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE NERN GULF COAST REGION
   BY AFTERNOON...OWING TO STRONG SYNOPTIC-SCALE PRESSURE GRADIENT
   BETWEEN WILMA AND CENTRAL PLAINS SFC RIDGE...AND STEEPENING
   LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WITH SURFACE HEATING. SUSTAINED NLY TO NWLY
   WINDS OF 20-25 MPH ARE LIKELY FOR A FEW HOURS...WITH RH VALUES
   BETWEEN 25-35 PERCENT FROM MID-AFTERNOON TO AROUND SUNSET. MUCH
   COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL COINCIDE WITH THE WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS
   OVER THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE LOW TO MID 60S.
   THIS WILL PRECLUDE ISSUANCE OF A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   AREA...HOWEVER...DRY FUEL CONDITIONS MAY STILL RESULT IN SOME
   LOCALIZED FIRE WEATHER PROBLEMS UNTIL THE BOUNDARY LAYER STABILIZES
   AND RH VALUES RECOVER AFTER SUNSET.
   
   ..BANACOS.. 10/24/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 240628
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0128 AM CDT MON OCT 24 2005
   
   VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD...HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER TROUGH ALONG THE ERN
   SEABOARD AND TRANSITIONING HURRICANE WILMA TO AN EXTRATROPICAL
   SYSTEM SE OF NEW ENGLAND WILL RESULT IN MODERATELY STRONG SURFACE
   WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE SERN CONUS. TUESDAY AFTERNOON WILL FEATURE
   WLY TO NWLY WINDS OF 15-25 MPH ACROSS MOST OF THE CAROLINAS SWD
   ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW SEASONAL
   AVERAGES...WITH HIGHS FROM THE UPPER 50S IN NC TO THE LOW/MID 60S
   ACROSS SC...GA...AND NRN FL. RH VALUES WILL LIKELY BE LOWEST IN
   CAROLINA PIEDMONT AREA...WHERE DOWNSLOPE FLOW COMPONENT WILL LIKELY
   RESULT IN RH VALUES BETWEEN 35-40 PERCENT DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
   HOURS. COOL TEMPERATURES AND RH VALUES ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS WILL
   MITIGATE THE IMPACT OF MODERATELY STRONG WINDS...AND SHOULD PRECLUDE
   ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. 
   
   ELSEWHERE...HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER RIDGE EXTENDING FROM NM TO
   MT/SASKATCHEWAN WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS UPPER LOW TRACKS EWD
   ACROSS THE SRN GREAT BASIN INTO THE FOUR CORNERS AREA. WLY 500MB JET
   OF 50-60KT ON SRN PERIPHERY OF TROUGH WILL TRACK ACROSS THE LOWER CO
   RIVER VALLEY DURING TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IT APPEARS FROM
   CURRENT NAM FORECAST SOUNDINGS THAT STRONG MID-LEVEL WINDS WILL NOT
   EFFICIENTLY MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE...OWING TO MODEST BOUNDARY LAYER
   DEPTHS. THOUGH BASIN/VALLEY TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW TO
   MID 80S...MARGINAL DAYTIME RH VALUES IN THE 20-30 PERCENT RANGE AND
   WLY SURFACE WINDS OF 10-15 MPH SHOULD LIMIT SEVERITY OF FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS ACROSS INTERIOR SRN CA/AZ.
   
   ..BANACOS.. 10/24/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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