Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 070951
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0351 AM CST MON NOV 07 2005
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NE NM/SRN KS/OK/TX PANHANDLE AND
   NCNTRL TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   MAINLY ZONAL FLOW WILL PERSIST FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE FORECAST
   PERIOD...BUT A TROUGH APPROACHING THE WEST COAST WILL BEGIN TO
   AMPLIFY BY EARLY TUE. ALSO APPARENT IN SATELLITE LOOPS IS A JET MAX
   NOW ACROSS SRN CA WHICH WILL MOVE OUT ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS LATER
   TODAY. AT THE SFC...LEE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM ERN WY INTO SE CO WILL
   STRENGTHEN AS SFC LOW MOVES INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS BY AFTN. SFC WINDS
   ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS WILL INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO THE STRONGER
   PRESSURE GRADIENT. EVEN THOUGH RH VALUES WILL BE RATHER
   HIGH...COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
   WILL WARRANT AN OUTLOOK AREA ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SRN PLAINS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - NE NM/SRN KS/OK/TX PANHANDLE AND
   NCNTRL TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SFC WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS/DRY FUELS
   
   TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE MUCH ABOVE NORMAL...GENERALLY
   BY 15-20 DEGREES. A FEW RECORD HIGHS ARE EVEN POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS
   PORTIONS OF OK/TX PANHANDLE. ALSO...40-50 KT LOW LEVEL JET AXIS WILL
   BE FOCUSED ACROSS CNTRL/ERN OK/SE KS THROUGH THE DAY. FORECAST
   SOUNDINGS SUGGEST INVERSION WILL BREAK BY MID-LATE MORNING ALLOWING
   HIGHER MOMENTUM AIR TO MIX TO THE SFC. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15-25 MPH
   WITH POSSIBLE GUSTS TO 30-35 MPH SEEM LIKELY. RECENT 10 HR FUEL
   MOISTURE VALUES BETWEEN 5-6 PERCENT AND HIGH KBDI VALUES IN THE
   500-700 RANGE ARE INDICATIVE OF THE DRY FUELS ACROSS THE AREA. 
   
   ONE LIMITING FACTOR WILL BE RELATIVELY HIGH RH VALUES. SFC DEWPOINTS
   EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF OK/KS/TX PANHANDLE ARE IN THE
   MID/UPPER 30S. BUT...DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE UPPER 40S/50S INVOF OF THE
   RED RIVER AND IN THE 60S ACROSS NCNTRL TX. WITH STRONG SLY WINDS
   TODAY...RAPID MOISTURE RETURN IS EXPECTED WITH DEWPOINTS QUICKLY
   INCREASING INTO THE UPPER 50S/LOWER 60S ACROSS KS/OK. EVEN WITH MAX
   TEMPS IN THE 80S...MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE ABOVE 30
   PERCENT...INCREASING TO AROUND 40-50 PERCENT. ACROSS THE TX
   PANHANDLE AND NE NM...HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE IN THE 15-25 PERCENT
   RANGE...ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL NOT BE AS STRONG AS FARTHER EAST. THE
   COMBINATION OF WARM AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT THE CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER THREAT DESPITE THE HIGH RH VALUES.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 11/07/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 070952
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0352 AM CST MON NOV 07 2005
   
   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NE NM/TX PANHANDLE/SRN
   KS/OK/NCNTRL TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   LARGE POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH OFF THE WEST COAST WILL EVOLVE INTO A
   CLOSED UPPER LOW BY EARLY WED MORNING. SRN STREAM FLOW ACROSS THE
   SOUTHWEST WILL REMAIN STRONG...WHILE IN THE NRN STREAM...IMPULSE NOW
   OFF THE BC COAST WILL PROGRESS QUICKLY EWD ACROSS THE NRN
   PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST. SFC LOW ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS WILL DEEPEN
   DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY MAINTAINING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT.
   ANOTHER DAY OF WARM AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT FOR THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - NE NM/TX PANHANDLE/SRN
   KS/OK/NCNTRL TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SLY WINDS 15-25 MPH/ABOVE NORMAL
   TEMPS/DRY FUELS
   
   ALTHOUGH RH VALUES WILL AGAIN BE ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES IN OK/NCNTRL
   TX AND KS...THE WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPS AND WINDY CONDITIONS SHOULD
   COMPENSATE. SFC WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15-20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS
   BY LATE MORNING/AFTN. MINIMUM RH VALUES ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE AND
   HIGH PLAINS OF ERN NM WILL RANGE FROM 20-25 PERCENT WITH STRONGER
   WINDS THAN MONDAY. FUELS ACROSS THE AREA WILL REMAIN DRY WITH NO
   SIGNIFICANT RAINS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 11/07/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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