Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 080956
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0356 AM CST TUE NOV 08 2005
   
   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NE NM/TX PANHANDLE/OK...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   SEASONABLY STRONG UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE SRN STATES WILL PERSIST
   TODAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL/RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE SRN
   PLAINS. NRN STREAM IMPULSE WILL MOVE EWD FROM ALBERTA
   TODAY...DEEPENING INTO A CLOSED UPPER LOW BY EARLY WED MORNING. AS
   THIS OCCURS...SFC LOW WILL STRENGTHEN AS IT EJECTS EWD FROM THE LEE
   OF THE NRN ROCKIES TODAY MOVING INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY WED. COLD
   FRONT WILL BEGIN TO SURGE SWD INTO THE PLAINS TUE NIGHT AND WILL
   EXTEND FROM THE TX S PLAINS/CNTRL OK/MO OZARKS BY WED MORNING. GUSTY
   SLY WINDS TODAY WILL CONTRIBUTE TO ANOTHER CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY
   ACROSS PORTIONS OF NE NM/TX PANHANDLE AND OK.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - NE NM/TX PANHANDLE/OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 15-30 MPH/ABOVE NORMAL/RECORD
   HIGH TEMPS/DRY FUELS
   
   TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN BE ABOUT 15-20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH A
   FEW RECORD HIGHS POSSIBLE TODAY. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO
   THE 15-30 MPH RANGE...WHICH WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR WIND DRIVEN
   FIRES. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE MOST CRITICAL /15-20 PERCENT/
   ACROSS NE NM AND THE TX PANHANDLE...BUT FARTHER EAST RH VALUES WILL
   BE WELL ABOVE 30-40 PERCENT. HOWEVER GIVEN THE VERY HIGH KBDI
   VALUES/LOW 10 HR FUEL MOISTURE VALUES AND WINDY AND UNUSUALLY WARM
   CONDITIONS...PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA REMAIN AT RISK FOR
   CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 11/08/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 081000
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0400 AM CST TUE NOV 08 2005
   
   VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   ZONAL FLOW WILL TRANSITION ON WED TO A SPLIT FLOW PATTERN...WITH NRN
   STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH DEEPENING INTO A LARGE CLOSED UPPER LOW JUST
   S OF HUDSON BAY BY WED EVE. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS UPPER LOW NOW
   DEVELOPING OFF CA COAST WILL BE CUTOFF FROM THE MAIN FLOW AT LEAST
   THROUGH EARLY THU. ANOTHER LARGE STORM SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE
   GULF OF AK AND THE DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM INTO QUEBEC WILL
   HELP AMPLIFY THE RIDGE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.
   
   ...SRN PLAINS...
   AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT WILL SURGE SWD ACROSS OK AND NCNTRL TX BY
   EARLY AFTN...WITH AN ABRUPT WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH. NO
   PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH THE FRONT...BUT HIGH TEMPS WILL BE
   AROUND 10-20 DEGREES COOLER THAN ON MON/TUE ACROSS OK/TX PANHANDLE.
   SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 10-20 MPH ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 11/08/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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