Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 110927
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0327 AM CST FRI NOV 11 2005
VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LOW OVER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY ADVANCES EASTWARD TODAY...
REACHING THE HIGH PLAINS BY THE END OF FORECAST PERIOD. SOUTHERLY
FLOW STRENGTHENS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AS SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS
OVER EASTERN COLORADO. HIGH PRESSURE IS THE PREDOMINANT FEATURE IN
THE EAST...WITH SURFACE HIGH BECOMING CENTERED AROUND THE MID
ATLANTIC STATES THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW
MAINTAINS THE DRY AIRMASS IN THE SOUTHEAST FOR ANOTHER DAY.
PRECIPITATION WILL MAINLY BE CONFINED TO THE WESTERN STATES...WITH
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY TO THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION...AND RAIN/MOUNTAIN SNOW IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.
...MS/AL/GA/FL PANHANDLE...
RH FALLS TO OR SLIGHTLY BELOW 25 TO 30 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS
THIS AFTERNOON AS LIGHT EAST/NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
MAINTAIN DRY CONDITIONS. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES REACH THE MID 60S TO
LOW 70S...BUT DUE TO THE LIGHT SURFACE WINDS A LARGE-SCALE CRITICAL
AREA WILL NOT BE ISSUED. AFTERNOON RH BEGINS TO MODERATE ON SATURDAY
AS SURFACE RIDGE MOVES OFFSHORE.
...SRN PLAINS...
SOUTHERLY SURFACE WINDS INCREASE TO 15 TO 30 MPH FROM WEST TEXAS TO
SOUTHERN KANSAS AS LEE CYCLONE DEVELOPS OVER THE HIGH PLAINS.
SURFACE DEWPOINTS INCREASE DURING THE PERIOD...BUT MINIMUM RH STILL
FALLS TO ABOUT 20 OR 25 PERCENT FROM WESTERN KANSAS TO THE
PANHANDLES OF TEXAS/OKLAHOMA. EXPECTED HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE WELL
ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS AND GENERALLY IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80.
..BRIGHT.. 11/11/2005
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 110928
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0328 AM CST FRI NOV 11 2005
VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
SHORT WAVES OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL ROCKIES
CONSOLIDATE OVER THE MIDWEST PLACING MOST OF THE NATION UNDER BROAD
UPPER TROUGH. SURFACE LOW MOVES FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO SOUTHERN
ONTARIO AS COLD FRONT ADVANCES SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE MIDWEST. AN
EXTENSIVE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPS DURING THE
PERIOD IN MILD PREFRONTAL AIRMASS EXTENDING FROM EASTERN TEXAS TO
THE GREAT LAKES REGION. STRONG WESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES TO BRING RAIN
AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.
DRY AIR LINGERS OVER THE SOUTHEAST...BUT AS THE SURFACE HIGH
REPOSITIONS ITSELF OFFSHORE TRAJECTORIES EMANATING FROM THE HIGH
GRADUALLY MOISTEN. AFTERNOON RH IS NOT EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 30
PERCENT OVER SUBSTANTIAL AREAS OF THE SOUTHEAST SATURDAY.
A WEDGE OF RELATIVELY DRY AIR WITH SURFACE RH AROUND 25 TO 30
PERCENT COULD REMAIN FROM EASTERN ARKANSAS TO EASTERN INDIANA. BUT
AS SURFACE WINDS BECOME SOUTHERLY AT 20 TO 30 MPH ANY NEAR CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WOULD BE SHORT-LIVED. CLOUDS AND
PRECIPITATION REACH THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY EARLY EVENING.
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ARE AGAIN SUSCEPTIBLE TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS...PRIMARILY WEST OF THE TROUGH/DRYLINE EXPECTED
TO REACH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA/TEXAS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE PANHANDLE
REGION OF TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA WILL SEE WINDS TURN NORTHWEST AT 10 TO
20 MPH WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S AND RH AROUND 20 TO 25 PERCENT.
..BRIGHT.. 11/11/2005
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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