ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL FNUS21 KWNS 220733 DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0133 AM CST TUE NOV 22 2005 VALID 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...SYNOPSIS... HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE COUNTRY TODAY...AS A BROAD UPPER TROUGH DEEPENS OVER THE ERN 1/3RD OF THE NATION...WHILE A STRONG UPPER RIDGE REMAINS OVER THE WEST. LOW RH READINGS WILL AGAIN BE COMMON OVER MUCH OF THE WEST AS A RESULT OF THE PRESENCE OF THE UPPER RIDGE. MEANWHILE...DRY MID LEVEL NWLY FLOW WILL REMAIN OVER THE PLAINS STATES. DOWNSLOPE NATURE OF THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO AID IN WARM TEMPERATURES WITH READINGS 5-10 DEG ABOVE NORMAL. DESPITE LOW RH READINGS...LACK OF MODERATE SURFACE WINDS WILL PRECLUDE ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT OVER THIS REGION. ...SRN PLAINS EWD INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY... AFTERNOON WNWLY WINDS FROM 5-15 MPH WILL OCCUR FROM THE SRN PLAINS EWD INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY. DOWNSLOPE COMPONENT TO THE FLOW WILL AID IN GRADUALLY WARMING LOW LEVELS WITH SFC TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. GIVEN PRESENCE OF LOW DEWPTS...CONSEQUENT RH READINGS WILL AVERAGE FROM 20-30 PERCENT. GIVEN LACK OF STRONGER LOW LEVEL FLOW...OVERALL FIRE WEATHER THREAT WILL REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS. ...CA... OFFSHORE FLOW WILL REMAIN LIMITED TODAY DUE TO PRESENCE OF AN UPPER TROUGH OFFSHORE. DESPITE PRESENCE OF WEAK ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE COAST...THE MARINE LAYER IS FCST TO BE SUFFICIENTLY SHALLOW THAT MTNS/INTERIOR VALLEYS WILL STILL SEE WARM TEMPERATURES/LOW RH READINGS FROM 10-15 PERCENT. LACK OF SUSTAINED WINDS OVER 20 MPH WILL PRECLUDE ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. ..CROSBIE.. 11/22/2005 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL FNUS22 KWNS 220733 DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0133 AM CST TUE NOV 22 2005 VALID 231200Z - 241200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...SYNOPSIS... THE UPPER TROUGH OFF THE CA COAST DURING DAY ONE...WILL MOVE TOWARDS NWRN MEXICO AND THE DESERT SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE PERIOD. MEANWHILE...A BROAD UPPER RIDGE WILL RESIDE OVER MOST OF THE REMAINDER OF THE WEST...AND BROAD UPPER TROUGHING WILL RESIDE OVER THE ERN HALF OF THE NATION. GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL FLOW COUPLED WITH MILD TEMPERATURES OVER THE SRN/CENTRAL PLAINS WILL LEAD TO INCREASING FIRE DANGERS AND AT LEAST NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. ELSEWHERE NO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREATS ARE APPARENT. ...SRN/CENTRAL PLAINS... AS A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIGS SEWD FROM SRN CANADA INTO THE GREAT LAKES...A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION EARLY IN THE DAY. IN THE WAKE OF THIS TROUGH...STEEPENING LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES COUPLED WITH INCREASING LOW LEVEL FLOW IN THE LOWEST FEW THOUSAND FEET AGL WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN WSWLY SFC WINDS OVER THE AREA. FCST WIND SPEEDS ARE FROM 10-20 MPH...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF NRN KS/SRN NEB...CLOSER TO THE SFC LOW PRESSURE AREA. WITH THE AID OF DOWNSLOPE COMPONENT TO THE LOW LEVEL FLOW...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE FROM 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...RANGING FROM THE MID 60S IN NRN NEB TO THE LOWER 80S IN CENTRAL TX. ALONG WITH LOW DEWPT READINGS...MIN RH READINGS WILL AVERAGE BETWEEN 15-25 PERCENT /LOWEST IN THE HIGH PLAINS/. PORTIONS OF THIS REGION WILL BE MONITORED FOR STRONGER WINDS AND POSSIBLE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. ...SERN STATES... SWLY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TO AROUND 10 MPH DURING THE PERIOD AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFF INTO THE GULF AND LOW PRESSURE TROUGH APPROACHES THE REGION. LITTLE TO NO MOISTURE RETURN /LOW DEWPTS/ COMBINED WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WILL LEAD TO MIN RH READINGS FROM 30-40 PERCENT. GIVEN RECENT WETTING RAINFALL AND MARGINAL WIND SPEEDS...A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS NOT ANTICIPATED. ..CROSBIE.. 11/22/2005 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...