Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 230822
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0222 AM CST WED NOV 23 2005
VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL FEATURE A POLAR VORTEX MOVING INTO THE
UPPER GREAT LAKES...WITH A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE ACROSS THE WRN
STATES. CIRCULATION CENTER NOTED IN EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY OFF THE CA COAST IS FORECAST TO DEEPEN INTO AN UPPER LOW BY
EARLY THU...WITH A LEAD IMPULSE PROGRESSING INTO THE SOUTHWEST. AT
THE SFC...COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD ACROSS THE ERN DAKOTAS/MN/IA
TODAY...BRINGING ANOTHER SURGE OF POLAR AIR INTO THE REGION.
ALTHOUGH THE MAIN JET STREAK WILL MOVE ACROSS MN/WI...STRONG WINDS
BOTH ALOFT AND AT THE SFC WILL AFFECT THE HIGH PLAINS. THE WINDIER
CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS/LOW RH WILL INCREASE
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
...WRN SD/WRN NEB...
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS HAVE BEEN ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE
PAST FEW DAYS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WLY /DOWNSLOPE/ WINDS. SFC WINDS
WILL BECOME MORE NWLY ACROSS THE DAKOTAS INTO KS. ONCE THE MORNING
INVERSION BREAKS...SFC WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE 15-30 MPH RANGE
WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL GENERALLY BE
ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES...OR ABOVE 20 PERCENT WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS
IN THE 60S.
...WRN KS/OK...
WLY DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL PERSIST ANOTHER DAY IN THIS
REGION...BOOSTING TEMPS WELL INTO THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. MINIMUM
RH VALUES WILL BE AOA 20 PERCENT WITH SFC WINDS IN THE 10-20 MPH
RANGE. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST MORNING INVERSION WILL TAKE
SEVERAL HOURS TO BREAK...WHICH WILL LIMIT STRONGEST WINDS TO THE
EARLY/MID AFTN. MARGINAL WINDS AND RH WILL LIMIT POTENTIAL FOR
CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS.
..TAYLOR.. 11/23/2005
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 230824
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0224 AM CST WED NOV 23 2005
VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS SHOULD BE MINIMAL ON THU. A MAJOR WINTER
SNOWSTORM IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND A POTENT
COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING FROM THE OH VALLEY INTO THE GULF COAST
STATES AND SRN PLAINS. IN THE WEST...UPPER RIDGE AXIS WILL BE FORCED
EWD AND WEAKEN IN RESPONSE TO DIGGING SYSTEM FROM THE ERN PACIFIC.
MEANWHILE...UPPER LOW NOW OFF CA COAST WILL TAKE A SLY TRACK ACROSS
BAJA. SLY RETURN FLOW WILL INCREASE HOWEVER BY FRIDAY ACROSS THE
PLAINS.
..TAYLOR.. 11/23/2005
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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