Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 300812
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0212 AM CST WED NOV 30 2005
   
   VALID 301200Z - 011200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN AND SRN OK / NRN AND NW TX /
   SERN NM...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE NRN ROCKIES WILL MOVE SEWD INTO
   THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS BY AFTERNOON. AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT
   WILL SINK SWD THROUGH ERN CO AND WRN KS...REACHING THE TX PANHANDLE
   BY LATE AFTERNOON. LOW PRESSURE AHEAD OF THIS FRONT WILL COMBINE
   WITH A HIGH TO THE EAST TO INCREASE SWLY WINDS. A VERY DRY AIR MASS
   IS ALREADY IN PLACE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS...AND WITH LITTLE
   MOISTENING...VERY LOW RH IS EXPECTED. THIS SAME AREA OF HIGH
   PRESSURE WILL ALSO CAUSE LOW RH VALUES ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY
   AND GULF COAST STATES ALONG WITH LIGHT WINDS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN AND SRN OK / NRN AND NW TX /
   SERN NM...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH
   
   A VERY DRY AIR MASS RESIDES ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS AND SWRN STATES
   WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE TEENS OR LOWER THIS MORNING. ALTHOUGH
   SOME MOISTENING IS LIKELY TO OCCUR AS THE TROUGH APPROACHES...RH
   WILL REMAIN VERY LOW...FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS OVER ERN NM
   / FAR W TX TO THE 20S INTO N TX AND SRN OK. WINDS WILL INCREASE
   QUICKLY BY THE MIDDLE OF THE DAY WITH SUSTAINED S WINDS OF 20-25 MPH
   AND GUSTS OVER 30 MPH. SUSTAINED WINDS MAY BE LESS OVER SERN NM /
   SWRN TX...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS NEAR THE MTNS. THE GREATEST FIRE
   POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE FROM N TX INTO ERN OK...WHERE KBDI VALUES
   ARE IN EXCESS OF 600.
   
   BY LATE AFTERNOON...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NWRN PORTIONS OF THE
   CRITICAL AREA...EXTENDING FROM NWRN OK TO NEAR AMARILLO TO CLOVIS
   AND SHIFTING WINDS TO NWLY AT 15-20 MPH. BY THIS TIME...RH VALUES
   WILL BE INCREASING AS TEMPERATURES RAPIDLY COOL DURING THE EVENING.
   
   ...SRN MS VALLEY EWD INTO GA/FL...
   HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE INTO THE DEEP SOUTH WHICH WILL KEEP
   TEMPERATURES COOL BUT RH LOW. AFTERNOON MIN RH VALUES OF 25-30
   PERCENT ARE EXPECTED ACROSS A LARGE AREA FROM THE SABINE RIVER EWD
   INTO GA AND NRN FL WHILE TEMPERATURES STRUGGLE TO EXCEED 60 DEGREES.
   LIGHT WIND SPEEDS LESS THAN 10 MPH AND COOL TEMPERATURES/SHALLOW
   MIXING LAYERS WILL TEMPER FIRE THREAT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 11/30/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 300845
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0245 AM CST WED NOV 30 2005
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER RIDGING WILL TAKE PLACE OVER THE ROCKIES THURSDAY...AS STRONG
   SHORTWAVE SHIFTS QUICKLY E OUT OF THE MID MS VALLEY INTO THE MID
   ATLANTIC. AT THE SURFACE...A REINFORCING AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
   SETTLE INTO THE SRN PLAINS / LOWER MS VALLEY. FARTHER W...A POWERFUL
   AND EXPANSIVE STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE PACIFIC COAST
   STATES...AND WILL AFFECT MOST OF THE WRN STATES BY FRIDAY MORNING
   WITH COOLER AND MORE MOIST CONDITIONS.
   
   ...AL/GA/FL...
   A DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE...WITH MIN
   RH VALUES OF 25-30 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS ARE
   EXPECTED TO BE UP FROM PREVIOUS DAY...SUSTAINED AT ABOUT 10 MPH OUT
   OF THE NW. FIRE THREAT WILL DECREASE RAPIDLY INTO THE EVENING WITH
   GOOD RH RECOVERY AND COLD TEMPERATURES.
   
   ...SRN AND ERN OK / NRN TX...
   A DRY POST FRONTAL AIR MASS WILL KEEP RH VALUE LOW DURING THE
   DAYTIME...FROM 20-30 PERCENT. WINDS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER THAN ON
   PREVIOUS DAY...FROM 5-10 MPH OUT OF THE N.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 11/30/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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