Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 010859
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0259 AM CST THU DEC 01 2005
VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL COVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND SERN
STATES...IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG AND PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH WHICH
WILL SWING EWD INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. LOW RH VALUES WILL ACCOMPANY
THE HIGH WITH GENERALLY LIGHT BUT OCCASIONALLY GUSTY WINDS.
MEANWHILE...LEE TROUGHING BENEATH DEVELOPING ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL
ONCE AGAIN CAUSE SURFACE WINDS TO BECOME SLY ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
SRN HIGH PLAINS. FARTHER W...A LARGE STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT MUCH OF THE AREA W OF THE ROCKIES WITH PRECIPITATION.
...CENTRAL AND NRN FLORIDA / SRN GA AND AL...
LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL EXIST TODAY DUE TO A
VERY DRY AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AND OCCASIONALLY GUSTY AFTERNOON WIND
GUSTS. TEMPERATURES LARGELY IN THE 60S F WILL ALLOW FOR MIN RH
VALUES OF 25-30 PERCENT. WHILE WINDS WILL ONLY AVERAGE NEAR 10
MPH...SOME AREAS COULD SEE HIGHER GUSTS NEAR 15 MPH ESPECIALLY
ACROSS CENTRAL AND SRN FL WHERE RH WILL ALSO BE A BIT HIGHER.
OVERALL...THE GREATEST THREAT WILL LIKELY LIE ACROSS THE FL
PANHANDLE REGION WHERE KBDI VALUES RANGE BETWEEN 400-600.
...SRN OK / NRN TX / WRN AR...
TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL AND DRY WITHIN POST FRONTAL AIR MASS WITH
TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM NEAR 50 IN OK TO NEAR 60 INTO CENTRAL TX.
RH LEVELS WILL REMAIN LOW WITH AFTERNOON MIN VALUES OF 20-30
PERCENT. NLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE NEAR 10 MPH...AND WILL
DIMINISH QUICKLY BY EARLY EVENING.
...SRN HIGH PLAINS...
MODERATELY STRONG S WINDS NEAR 20 MPH WILL RETURN TO ERN NM AND WRN
TX TODAY...AS LEE TROUGH DEEPENS OVER ERN CO AND NERN NM. ALTHOUGH
WINDY...RH LEVELS WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY LOW DUE TO COOL
TEMPERATURES...AVERAGING 20-30 PERCENT.
..JEWELL.. 12/01/2005
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 010917
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0317 AM CST THU DEC 01 2005
VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM / WRN TX...
...SYNOPSIS...
WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP ACROSS THE SRN
PLAINS ON FRIDAY...AS LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OVER THE TX PANHANDLE
WITH STRONG ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALSO REMAIN OVER
THE SERN STATES WHERE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT. MEANWHILE...A STRONG
UPPER LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH NEW ENGLAND WITH COLD AND WINDY
CONDITIONS...AND PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD INTO THE FOUR CORNERS
STATES.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN NM / WRN TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH
STRONG SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 30-40 MPH WILL
OCCUR FRIDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS ERN NM INTO WRN TX...AS UPPER LEVEL
JET STREAM SHIFTS SWD OVER THE AREA. A DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE WITH RH DIPPING TO NEAR 15 PERCENT AS TEMPERATURES RISE TO
75-80 F. RH RECOVERY WILL BE SLOW DURING THE EVENING AS WINDS REMAIN
ABOVE 15-20 MPH OVERNIGHT.
...OK INTO NRN AND CENTRAL TX...
WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL IN THESE AREAS AS WELL...WITH
SUSTAINED SLY SPEEDS OF 20-25 MPH AND HIGHER GUSTS. MITIGATING
FACTOR HERE WILL BE MARGINAL RH VALUES...AVERAGING 30-35 PERCENT.
GIVEN VERY DRY FUELS...SOME THREAT WILL EXIST DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS BUT RH LEVELS WILL RECOVERY QUICKLY BY EVENING. IF RH LEVELS
FALL BELOW CURRENT FORECAST VALUES...PORTIONS OF THIS AREA COULD BE
UPGRADED TO CRITICAL IN NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK.
...GULF COAST STATES AND CAROLINAS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA ALBEIT SOMEWHAT WEAKENED.
WHILE RH WILL STILL REMAIN LOW AT 25-30 PERCENT DURING THE DAY WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S AND 60S...WINDS WILL BE QUITE LIGHT AT
AROUND 5 MPH.
..JEWELL.. 12/01/2005
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home