Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 010859
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0259 AM CST THU DEC 01 2005
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL COVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND SERN
   STATES...IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG AND PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH WHICH
   WILL SWING EWD INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. LOW RH VALUES WILL ACCOMPANY
   THE HIGH WITH GENERALLY LIGHT BUT OCCASIONALLY GUSTY WINDS.
   MEANWHILE...LEE TROUGHING BENEATH DEVELOPING ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL
   ONCE AGAIN CAUSE SURFACE WINDS TO BECOME SLY ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
   SRN HIGH PLAINS. FARTHER W...A LARGE STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO
   AFFECT MUCH OF THE AREA W OF THE ROCKIES WITH PRECIPITATION.
   
   ...CENTRAL AND NRN FLORIDA / SRN GA AND AL...
   LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL EXIST TODAY DUE TO A
   VERY DRY AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AND OCCASIONALLY GUSTY AFTERNOON WIND
   GUSTS. TEMPERATURES LARGELY IN THE 60S F WILL ALLOW FOR MIN RH
   VALUES OF 25-30 PERCENT. WHILE WINDS WILL ONLY AVERAGE NEAR 10
   MPH...SOME AREAS COULD SEE HIGHER GUSTS NEAR 15 MPH ESPECIALLY
   ACROSS CENTRAL AND SRN FL WHERE RH WILL ALSO BE A BIT HIGHER.
   OVERALL...THE GREATEST THREAT WILL LIKELY LIE ACROSS THE FL
   PANHANDLE REGION WHERE KBDI VALUES RANGE BETWEEN 400-600.
   
   ...SRN OK / NRN TX / WRN AR...
   TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL AND DRY WITHIN POST FRONTAL AIR MASS WITH
   TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM NEAR 50 IN OK TO NEAR 60 INTO CENTRAL TX.
   RH LEVELS WILL REMAIN LOW WITH AFTERNOON MIN VALUES OF 20-30
   PERCENT. NLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE NEAR 10 MPH...AND WILL
   DIMINISH QUICKLY BY EARLY EVENING.
   
   ...SRN HIGH PLAINS...
   MODERATELY STRONG S WINDS NEAR 20 MPH WILL RETURN TO ERN NM AND WRN
   TX TODAY...AS LEE TROUGH DEEPENS OVER ERN CO AND NERN NM. ALTHOUGH
   WINDY...RH LEVELS WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY LOW DUE TO COOL
   TEMPERATURES...AVERAGING 20-30 PERCENT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 12/01/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 010917
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0317 AM CST THU DEC 01 2005
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM / WRN TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP ACROSS THE SRN
   PLAINS ON FRIDAY...AS LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OVER THE TX PANHANDLE
   WITH STRONG ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALSO REMAIN OVER
   THE SERN STATES WHERE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT. MEANWHILE...A STRONG
   UPPER LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH NEW ENGLAND WITH COLD AND WINDY
   CONDITIONS...AND PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD INTO THE FOUR CORNERS
   STATES.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN NM / WRN TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS  AND LOW RH
   
   STRONG SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 30-40 MPH WILL
   OCCUR FRIDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS ERN NM INTO WRN TX...AS UPPER LEVEL
   JET STREAM SHIFTS SWD OVER THE AREA. A DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN
   PLACE WITH RH DIPPING TO NEAR 15 PERCENT AS TEMPERATURES RISE TO
   75-80 F. RH RECOVERY WILL BE SLOW DURING THE EVENING AS WINDS REMAIN
   ABOVE 15-20 MPH OVERNIGHT.
   
   ...OK INTO NRN AND CENTRAL TX...
   WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL IN THESE AREAS AS WELL...WITH
   SUSTAINED SLY SPEEDS OF 20-25 MPH AND HIGHER GUSTS. MITIGATING
   FACTOR HERE WILL BE MARGINAL RH VALUES...AVERAGING 30-35 PERCENT.
   GIVEN VERY DRY FUELS...SOME THREAT WILL EXIST DURING THE AFTERNOON
   HOURS BUT RH LEVELS WILL RECOVERY QUICKLY BY EVENING. IF RH LEVELS
   FALL BELOW CURRENT FORECAST VALUES...PORTIONS OF THIS AREA COULD BE
   UPGRADED TO CRITICAL IN NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK.
   
   ...GULF COAST STATES AND CAROLINAS...
   HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA ALBEIT SOMEWHAT WEAKENED.
   WHILE RH WILL STILL REMAIN LOW AT 25-30 PERCENT DURING THE DAY WITH
   TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S AND 60S...WINDS WILL BE QUITE LIGHT AT
   AROUND 5 MPH.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 12/01/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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