Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 020843
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0243 AM CST FRI DEC 02 2005
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM / NRN AND WRN TX / CENTRAL
   AND SW OK...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FL PANHANDLE AND SOUTH FL /
   PORTIONS OF FAR SRN AL / SRN GA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A VERY DRY AIR MASS REMAINS OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND SERN STATES
   DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE. DURING THE DAY...PRESSURES WILL LOWER ACROSS
   THE SRN HIGH PLAINS AS A ZONAL UPPER JET SHIFTS SEWD ACROSS AZ AND
   NM...RESULTING IN STRONG WINDS AND CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS. HIGH
   PRESSURE AND PERSISTENT LOW RH OVER THE SERN STATES WILL ALSO RESULT
   IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WHERE FUELS ARE RELATIVELY DRY.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN NM / NRN AND WRN TX / CENTRAL
   AND SW OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG SWLY WINDS / LOW RH
   
   WINDS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE AFTER SUNRISE AND WILL PEAK DURING THE
   AFTERNOON HOURS. SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF
   35-45 MPH WILL OCCUR OVER ERN NM AND INTO WRN TX WHILE RH DROPS INTO
   THE 10-15 PERCENT RANGE. FARTHER E INTO OK AND N TX...WINDS WILL BE
   MORE SLY IN DIRECTION...BUT STILL STRONG AT 20-25 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH. RH LEVELS WILL NOT BE AS LOW IN THESE
   AREAS DUE TO AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH. HOWEVER...MIN
   RH VALUES OF 25-35 PERCENT WILL BE LOW ENOUGH TO CAUSE HAZARDOUS
   FIRE CONDITIONS WHEN COMBINED WITH EXTREMELY DRY FUELS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - FL PANHANDLE AND SOUTH FL /
   PORTIONS OF FAR SRN AL / SRN GA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RH ALONG WITH HIGH KBDI
   VALUES
   
   FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BECOME MORE CRITICAL TODAY AS DRY
   WEATHER PERSISTS IN AREAS OF MDT TO HIGH KBDI VALUES. ALTHOUGH WINDS
   WILL BE LIGHT AT 5-10 MPH OUT OF THE NORTH...RH LEVELS WILL DROP
   INTO THE 20-30 PERCENT RANGE FOR 4-6 HOURS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
   CRITICAL AREA. IN SRN FL WHERE KBDI VALUES ARE NEAR 500 SOUTH OF THE
   LAKE...RH WILL BE IN THE 30-35 PERCENT RANGE WITH STRONGER WINDS OF
   10-15 MPH.
   
   ...CAROLINAS...
   IT WILL BE FAIRLY COOL TODAY BUT WLY DOWNSLOPE WINDS AND LOW RH
   VALUES WILL ALLOW FOR A FEW HOURS OF AFTERNOON HAZARDOUS FIRE
   CONDITIONS. SUSTAINED WLY WINDS NEAR 15 MPH WILL OCCUR WITH MIN RH
   VALUES OF 20-25 PERCENT AT PEAK HEATING.
   
   ...SERN AZ INTO SWRN NM...
   WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY AS UPPER TROUGH SINKS SWD BUT IT WILL NOT
   BE PARTICULARLY DRY. SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 15-20 MPH APPEAR LIKELY
   ALONG WITH MIN RH VALUES NEAR 15-20 PERCENT. HIGHER WIND GUSTS WILL
   BE LIKELY NEAR RIDGE TOPS.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 12/02/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 020845
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0245 AM CST FRI DEC 02 2005
   
   VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SERN NM / SWRN TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW WILL EXIST ACROSS THE NATION WITH ONLY SLIGHT
   RIDGING ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST. AT THE SURFACE...WARM AND DRY AIR
   WILL EXIST OVER THE SRN TIER OF STATES...WITH STRONG WINDS ACROSS
   THE SRN ROCKIES AND PLAINS. FARTHER N A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD
   THROUGH THE TX PANHANDLE AND CENTRAL OK...SHIFTING WINDS TO NLY. RH
   LEVELS WILL BEGIN TO RISE ACROSS MUCH OF THE SERN STATES AS WINDS
   VEER TO SLY AND BRING MOISTURE OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SERN NM / SWRN TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH
   
   SRN BRANCH OF JET STREAM WILL STRENGTHEN OVER NM INTO THE LOWER MS
   VALLEY. THIS STRONG WLY FLOW WILL MIX TO THE SURFACE FROM THE ERN
   PLAINS OF NM INTO SW TX...WHERE SUSTAINED WLY WINDS OF 20-30 MPH
   WILL OCCUR. IT WILL BE AGAIN WARM WITH HIGHS OF 70-80F...RESULTING
   IN MIN RH VALUES NEAR 15 PERCENT. OVERNIGHT...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
   THROUGH THE AREA SHIFTING WINDS TO NLY WITH GOOD RH RECOVERY.
   
   ...CENTRAL AND NRN TX INTO OK...
   INCREASING SLY FLOW WILL BRING MOISTURE NWD AND WILL HELP TO KEEP RH
   LEVELS HIGHER THAN PREVIOUS DAY. TO THE N...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
   THROUGH MUCH OF OKLAHOMA WHICH WILL SHIFT WINDS FROM SWLY TO NLY AT
   15-20 MPH. THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE WINDS AND LOW RH WILL ALLOW
   FOR MARGINAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS THE SERN HALF OF OK INTO N
   TX.
   
   ...FLORIDA...
   RH WILL REMAIN LOW OVER INTERIOR FL FROM 30-40 PERCENT...BUT WILL
   BEGIN TO INCREASE LATE IN THE DAY AS WINDS VEER TO MORE OF A SLY
   DIRECTION. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 12/02/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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