Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 030851
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0251 AM CST SAT DEC 03 2005
VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM/SRN OK/NRN AND NW TX...
...SYNOPSIS...
RELATIVELY LOW AMPLITUDE/WESTERLY UPPER FLOW REGIME EXISTS OVER MUCH
OF THE CONUS...WITH A BROAD UPPER TROUGH EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY THE
END OF THE PERIOD AS SEVERAL SHORTWAVE IMPULSES TRAVERSE THE
PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST. FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS WILL
PUSH SWD ACROSS OK/TX THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...WITH GUSTY WINDS
ASSOCIATED WITH IT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL YIELD ACROSS THE SE
STATES...WITH MOISTURE BEGINNING TO RETURN AHEAD OF EWD PROGRESSING
LOW PRESSURE/COLD FRONT.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN NM/SRN OK/NRN AND NW TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: GUSTY WINDS/WIND SHIFT AND WARM TEMPERATURES/LOW
RH
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SWD ACROSS NE NM/NW TX AND CNTRL/SRN
OK THIS AFTERNOON...AND SE NM AND WEST/NORTH TX THIS
EVENING/OVERNIGHT. ACROSS MUCH OF ERN NM/NW TX...STRONG AND GUSTY
W/SW WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WILL EXIST AHEAD OF THE FRONT THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. IN THESE AREAS...AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES SHOULD CLIMB WELL
THROUGH THE 70S/LOWER 80S...WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES OF 15-25 PERCENT.
FURTHER EAST INTO CNTRL/SRN OK AND NORTH TX...ALTHOUGH RH VALUES
WILL BE HIGHER WITH EWD EXTENT...RATHER DRY FUELS AND THE
MARKED/GUSTY NLY WIND SHIFT DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING SUGGESTS A
CONTINUANCE OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
...FL...
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SE
STATES/FL OWING TO DEVELOPMENT OF SLY TRAJECTORIES AHEAD OF LOW
PRESSURE/COLD FRONT. RH VALUES SHOULD INCREASE
ACCORDINGLY...ALTHOUGH MARGINALLY CRITICAL RH VALUES MAY OCCUR AGAIN
ACROSS INTERIOR FL FOR A FEW HOURS DURATION.
..GUYER.. 12/03/2005
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 030852
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0252 AM CST SAT DEC 03 2005
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL FURTHER EVOLVE OVER THE CONUS ON SUNDAY.
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE E/SE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC AND GULF COAST
STATES...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EWD ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST AND SRN PLAINS.
...SRN CA...
OFFSHORE GRADIENT WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS SRN CA EARLY SUNDAY.
LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS SHOULD EXIST THROUGH CANYONS/PASSES...ESPECIALLY
BY SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION...DEVELOPING OFFSHORE
TRAJECTORIES WILL PROMOTE A GRADUAL DRYING/WARMING AIRMASS INTO
MONDAY...ALTHOUGH RH VALUES WILL INITIALLY REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL
LEVELS.
...FAR SOUTH TX...
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD ACROSS FAR SOUTH TX ON SUNDAY...WITH GUSTY
WINDS AND MARGINALLY LOW RH VALUES POTENTIALLY INDUCING A SOMEWHAT
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
..GUYER.. 12/03/2005
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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