Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 230913
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0313 AM CST FRI DEC 23 2005
VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
OVERALL PATTERN OVER THE CONUS WILL AMPLIFY THROUGH THE
PERIOD...WITH REESTABLISHMENT OF WESTERN STATES RIDGE AND EASTERN
STATES TROUGH. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AND DEVELOPING COLD FRONT WILL
PUSH EAST/SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST AND CENTRAL PLAINS. IN
THE WEST...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN
STATES...WITH OFFSHORE FLOW INCREASING ACROSS SOUTHERN CA.
...NORTHERN FL/AL/GA...
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
STATES TODAY...WITH GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF MOIST SOUTHERLY
TRAJECTORIES AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EASTWARD OVER THE REGION.
NEVERTHELESS...ANOTHER DAY OF CRITICAL RH VALUES /25-35 PERCENT/ ARE
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON FOR A FEW HOURS DURATION ACROSS NORTHERN FL
AND ADJACENT AL/GA. GIVEN THE PROXIMITY OF THE SURFACE HIGH AND WEAK
PRESSURE GRADIENT...WIND SPEEDS WILL BE VERY LIGHT /5 MPH OR LESS/.
...SOUTHERN CA...
OFFSHORE GRADIENT WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP/INTENSIFY THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHERN CA...ATTRIBUTABLE TO BUILDING UPPER
RIDGE/SURFACE HIGH OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. DEVELOPMENT OF
MODERATE OFFSHORE GRADIENT WILL LEAD TO LOCALIZED GUSTY WINDS
OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY...IN ADDITION TO POOR OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY.
..GUYER.. 12/23/2005
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 230914
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0314 AM CST FRI DEC 23 2005
VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
LARGE SCALE UPPER PATTERN WILL FURTHER AMPLIFY ON SATURDAY...
CHARACTERIZED BY LONGWAVE RIDGE OVER THE WEST AND EASTERN STATES
TROUGH. COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EASTWARD ACROSS THE LOWER/MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST STATES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN
OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...WITH OFFSHORE COMPONENT GRADUALLY
WEAKENING ACROSS SOUTHERN CA.
...SOUTHERN CA...
WITH OFFSHORE GRADIENT ESTABLISHED...LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS WILL BE
ONGOING SATURDAY MORNING...NAMELY BELOW CANYONS/PASSES OF SOUTHERN
CA. HOWEVER OFFSHORE GRADIENT SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN DURING THE
AFTERNOON/NIGHT...WITH DIMINISHED POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY WINDS SATURDAY
NIGHT. THE OFFSHORE TRAJECTORIES WILL LEAD TO RATHER MILD
TEMPERATURES /LOWER 80S IN THE COASTAL PLAIN/ SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...WITH LOW AFTERNOON RH VALUES OF 10-15 PERCENT.
...SOUTHERN PLAINS...
IN WAKE OF COLD FRONT...GUSTY NW WINDS WILL DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING
ACROSS MUCH OF KS/OK INTO NORTH TX. SUSTAINED NW WINDS OF 20-30 MPH
APPEAR LIKELY...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH AFTERNOON RH VALUES
SHOULD TEND TO BE SUFFICIENTLY HIGH...THE STRONG/GUSTY WINDS AND
ANTECEDENT DRY CONDITIONS WILL NEVERTHELESS LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED
FIRE DANGER...ESPECIALLY ACROSS MUCH OF OK/NORTH TX.
..GUYER.. 12/23/2005
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home