Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 240901
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0301 AM CST SAT DEC 24 2005
   
   VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTION OF THE SRN PLAINS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM THE SRN PLAINS INTO THE
   SOUTHEAST THROUGH TONIGHT. WINDY CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR IN THE WAKE
   OF AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT OVER THE SRN PLAINS TODAY. WHERE
   TEMPERATURES WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY MILD IN COMBINATION WITH THE
   WIND...A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT WILL EXIST. ELSEWHERE ACROSS
   THE NATION...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE COMMON AS UPPER
   RIDGING WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE SENSIBLE WEATHER. WEAK TO
   MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL DIMINISH OVER SRN CA EARLY IN THE
   PERIOD...PRECLUDING A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. HOWEVER...WARM
   TEMPERATURES AND LOW RH READINGS WILL AGAIN BE PRESENT LEADING TO
   HIGH FIRE DANGER.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MUCH OF WRN/CENTRAL AND SRN
   TX...SWRN OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS
   OVER 40 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 15-25 PERCENT
   
   ELEVATED WIND MAX A FEW THOUSAND FEET ABOVE GROUND WILL DEVELOP DOWN
   TO THE SURFACE EARLY IN THE PERIOD AS DAYTIME HEATING COMBINES WITH
   COLD ADVECTION/STEEPENING LAPSE RATES. SEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES
   AND SCATTERED CLOUD COVER SHOULD AFFECT MUCH OF CENTRAL/ERN OK
   PRECLUDING ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. HOWEVER POINTS SW-S
   WILL SEE ABOVE-WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AIDED BY THE AMPLE
   SUNSHINE. DRY AIR SUPPORTED BY LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE... WITH DEWPT
   READINGS IN THE TEENS-LOWER 30S...WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS FROM
   15-20 PERCENT OVER WRN TX AND BETWEEN 20-25 PERCENT OVER CENTRAL/SRN
   TX.  THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH READINGS WILL LEAD
   TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL
   DIMINISH QUICKLY TOWARDS SUNSET AS WINDS DECREASE AND RH READINGS
   RISE.
   
   ...SRN CA...
   OFFSHORE WIND GUSTS FROM 30-40 MPH WILL REMAIN LIKELY UNTIL
   15Z...MAINLY THROUGH AND BELOW PASSES AND CANYONS. WEAKENING
   OFFSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND NATURAL DIURNAL CYCLE WILL AID IN A
   TREND OF DIMINISHING WIND SPEEDS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
   MORNING. APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH OFF THE NRN CA COAST WILL AID IN
   SHIFTING THE WINDS TO WEAK ONSHORE LATER TODAY/TONIGHT. THE LACK OF
   A LONGER DURATION OF STRONGER OFFSHORE WINDS WILL PRECLUDE A
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. HOWEVER...HIGH FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED
   AS LOW RH READINGS/WARM TEMPERATURES WILL BE PRESENT TODAY.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 12/24/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 240902
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0302 AM CST SAT DEC 24 2005
   
   VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE
   PERIOD. IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM...BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP
   INTO THE SOUTHEAST STATES. HOWEVER...RELATIVELY COOL TEMPERATURES
   AND RECENT RAINFALL WILL PRECLUDE ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. WINDS
   WILL DIMINISH OVER THE SRN PLAINS...LEADING TO A DECREASE IN FIRE
   DANGER. HOWEVER...WARM TEMPERATURES AND A CONTINENTAL AIRMASS WILL
   AGAIN SUPPORT LOW RH READINGS. FURTHER WEST...UNDER THE PRESENCE OF
   UPPER RIDGING...LOW RH READINGS WILL BE COMMONPLACE OVER THE
   SOUTHWEST STATES. ONSHORE FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN OVER SRN CA WITH
   HIGHER RH READINGS THE RESULT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 12/24/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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