Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 020743
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0143 AM CST MON JAN 02 2006
VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEAST OK/NORTHEAST
TX/NORTHWEST LA/SOUTHWEST AR...
...SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM CENTRAL ARKANSAS...TO
CENTRAL INDIANA...TO WEST VIRGINIA DURING THE PERIOD. THIS SYSTEM
WILL BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE EASTERN
US...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER IN THE SOUTHEASTERN
STATES. THE FIRST COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CYCLONE WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EARLY IN THE DAY...WHILE A SECONDARY
COLD FRONT WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ONCE AGAIN...THESE SERIES OF COLD FRONTS
WILL ONLY BRING SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR INTO THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
PLAINS...AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL STILL PERSIST IN THE
AREA.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SOUTHEAST OK/NORTHEAST
TX/NORTHWEST LA/SOUTHWEST AR...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RH VALUES...STRONG/GUSTY W/NW WINDS...WARM
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES...PROLONGED SEVERE DROUGHT
A PERIOD OF FIRE WEATHER DANGER WILL EXIST MAINLY DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING HOURS ACROSS THE CRITICAL AREA. WHILE TWO
COLD FRONTS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE PERIOD...ONLY SLIGHTLY
COOLER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION. WESTERLY/NORTHWESTERLY WINDS
BEHIND THESE FRONTS WILL BE STRONG AND GUSTY AT TIMES...AND COUPLED
WITH PERSISTENT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES...SEVERE TO EXTREME
DROUGHT CONDITIONS...AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...THE POTENTIAL FOR
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXISTS MAINLY FOR 18Z/02 - 00Z/03.
THE STRONG/GUSTY WINDS WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN AFTER SUNSET...QUICKLY
MINIMIZING THE FIRE THREAT.
..LEVIT.. 01/02/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 020920
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0320 AM CST MON JAN 02 2006
VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL OK/TX
PANHANDLE/OK PANHANDLE/NORTHWEST TX/EXTREME EASTERN NM...
...SYNOPSIS...
A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP NEAR THE NEBRASKA/KANSAS
BORDER BY 04/00Z...AND AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES SOUTHWESTWARD...A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS DURING THE
EVENING AND EARLY MORNING HOURS. ONCE AGAIN...LACK OF MOISTURE
AHEAD OF THIS FRONT WILL PRECLUDE ANY PRECIPITATION FOR THE
REGION...CONTINUING THE DROUGHT.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - WESTERN AND CENTRAL OK/TX
PANHANDLE/OK PANHANDLE/NORTHWEST TX/EXTREME EASTERN NM...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG AND GUSTY W/SW WINDS...LOW TO VERY LOW
RH...HIGH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES
STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
AREA DURING THE PERIOD OF CYCLOGENESIS IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS. AS
THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS...SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS IN THE
REGION WILL BE AROUND 20 KTS...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE AIRMASS IN
THIS REGION WILL BE VERY DRY...WITH SOME AFTERNOON RH VALUES
APPROACHING THE MID TEENS...AND AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AGAIN
CLIMBING TO AT LEAST UNSEASONABLY WARM...AND POTENTIALLY
RECORD...VALUES. GIVEN THESE CONDITIONS...PORTIONS OF THE AREA
COULD BE UPGRADED TO AN EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA...ESPECIALLY IN
TEXAS WHERE IT APPEARS WIND SPEEDS WILL BE MAXIMIZED.
..LEVIT.. 01/02/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home