Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 180806
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0206 AM CST WED JAN 18 2006
VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SW AND CNTRL OKLAHOMA/NW AND N
CNTRL TEXAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER EASTERN COLORADO BY 19/00Z.
SURFACE WINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS WILL INCREASE DURING
THE AFTERNOON IN RESPONSE TO THIS SYSTEM. THE LOW WILL MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA DURING THE PERIOD...AND A
LACK OF MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT OVER KANSAS
SUGGESTS VERY LITTLE PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP. ELSEWHERE...ANOTHER
STORM SYSTEM IN THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES WILL EXIT THE REGION
AFTER BRINGING RAIN AND SOME MIXED WINTER PRECIPITATION...AND A HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DOMINATE THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SW AND CNTRL OKLAHOMA/NW AND N
CNTRL TEXAS...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG AND GUSTY S/SW WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...CONTINUED DROUGHT AND DRY SURFACE FUELS
SURFACE WIND SPEEDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS WILL INCREASE
IN RESPONSE TO A STRENGTHENING PRESSURE GRADIENT FROM THE DEVELOPING
LEE CYCLONE OVER EASTERN COLORADO. WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE AT
OR ABOVE 20 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...OVER THE AREA. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE LOW ONCE AGAIN...WITH LATE AFTERNOON VALUES
RANGING FROM SINGLE DIGITS TO MIDDLE TEENS. A SEVERE TO EXTREME
DROUGHT CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION...AND SURFACE FUELS REMAIN
EXTREMELY DRY. THE GREATEST FIRE WEATHER THREAT APPEARS TO EXIST
DURING THE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING HOURS WHEN TEMPERATURES ARE
HIGH AND WIND SPEEDS ARE MAXIMIZED...WITH THE THREAT TAPERING OFF
SOMEWHAT AFTER SUNSET AS WIND SPEEDS DECREASE AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES RECOVER.
..LEVIT.. 01/18/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 180856
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0256 AM CST WED JAN 18 2006
VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NW TEXAS/TX PANHANDLE/SE NEW
MEXICO...
...SYNOPSIS...
A MIX OF LIQUID AND FROZEN PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR OVER THE GREAT
LAKES REGION AS A SURFACE CYCLONE MOVES INTO THE AREA. A COLD FRONT
WILL STRETCH FROM THAT SYSTEM IN SOUTHERN WISCONSIN TO ANOTHER
DEVELOPING LEE CYCLONE IN NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO. AS WITH MOST OF
THE PREVIOUS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS...MOISTURE WILL BE SCARCE AHEAD OF
THE COLD FRONT AND NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. ADDITIONALLY...A
HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM STILL DOMINATES THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES...WHILE
SNOW FALLS IN SOME AREAS OF THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - NW TEXAS/TX PANHANDLE/SE NEW
MEXICO...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...STRONG SURFACE WINDS
A FIRE WEATHER THREAT EXISTS FOR A BRIEF PERIOD DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS AS ANOTHER LEE CYCLONE DEVELOPS IN THE SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS.
THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FORMS IN NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND IN
RESPONSE...WINDS IN NORTHWEST TEXAS...THE TEXAS PANHANDLE...AND
EASTERN NEW MEXICO WILL BE AROUND 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SURFACE
FUELS CONTINUE TO REMAIN DRY DUE TO THE CONTINUED DROUGHT...AND
ANOTHER DAY OF FIRE WEATHER RISK WILL EXIST ONCE AGAIN AS RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES FALL INTO THE MID TEENS AND AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES
CLIMB INTO THE MID TO UPPER 60S F.
..LEVIT.. 01/18/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home