Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 190852
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0252 AM CST THU JAN 19 2006
VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CNTRL AND WESTERN TEXAS/EASTERN
NEW MEXICO/SW MISSOURI/CNTRL AND EASTERN OK...
...SYNOPSIS...
ANOTHER LEE CYCLONE DEVELOPS IN NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO DURING THE
PERIOD...AS A SURFACE LOW MOVES INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION BRINGING
SNOW AND RAIN. A COLD FRONT WILL STRETCH FROM THAT LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM TO THE LOW IN NEW MEXICO AND WILL MOVE THROUGH
MISSOURI...KANSAS...AND INTO OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD. SOME SNOW WILL OCCUR ACROSS SOUTHEAST COLORADO AND SOUTHWEST
KANSAS BEHIND THE FRONT. ADDITIONALLY...A STORM SYSTEM MOVING INTO
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL BRING A MIX OF PRECIPITATION TO THAT
REGION.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - CNTRL AND WESTERN TEXAS/EASTERN
NEW MEXICO/SW MISSOURI/CNTRL AND EASTERN OK...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS
A LARGE PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS WILL BE IN A HIGH FIRE
DANGER DURING THE PERIOD. ONCE AGAIN...SURFACE WINDS WILL BE
STRONG...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 25 MPH...AND GUSTS ABOVE 30
MPH. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL ACROSS THE REGION AS DEWPOINT
VALUES REMAIN LOW...HOWEVER...SOME MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO RETURN TO
THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE CRITICAL AREA...AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL IMPROVE AFTER SUNSET. THE STRONG WIND SPEEDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DECREASE FOLLOWING SUNSET AS WELL. THEREFORE...THE MAJOR
FIRE WEATHER THREAT WILL EXIST DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS WHEN THE COMBINATION OF UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...AND STRONG WINDS WILL EXIST. ALSO...SURFACE
FUELS REMAIN EXTREMELY DRY DUE TO THE LONG TERM DROUGHT IN THE
REGION.
...SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO...
STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THIS REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS...WITH WINDS NEAR 30 MPH...AND HIGHER GUSTS. RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL FALL TO NEAR 15 PERCENT DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON...WHEN THE HIGHEST FIRE DANGER WILL EXIST.
..LEVIT.. 01/19/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 190953
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0353 AM CST THU JAN 19 2006
VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CNTRL AND WESTERN OK/NW
TEXAS/TEXAS PANHANDLE...
...SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PART OF THE UNITED STATES
BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES. A
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM OKLAHOMA TO THE OHIO
VALLEY...BRINGING SOME SPOTTY PRECIPITATION TO THE MIDWEST. A HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BUILD BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AND WILL BEGIN TO
DOMINATE THE WESTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE COUNTRY.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - CNTRL AND WESTERN OK/NW
TEXAS/TEXAS PANHANDLE...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG AND GUSTY POST FRONTAL WINDS...CHANGING
WIND DIRECTION
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE HIGHER AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES
COOLER THEN PREVIOUS DAYS AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHERN
GREAT PLAINS...HOWEVER...WINDS WILL BE STRONG AND GUSTY BEHIND THE
FRONT MAINLY DURING THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS
ARE EXPECTED TO EXCEED 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH OR
HIGHER...AND WITH THE CONTINUED DROUGHT CONDITIONS AND DRY SURFACE
FUELS...FIRE DANGER WILL CONTINUE TO EXIST. ADDITIONALLY...THE WIND
DIRECTION WILL QUICKLY CHANGE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...WITH WINDS OUT
OF THE SOUTH DURING THE MORNING HOURS CHANGING TO A NORTHERLY
DIRECTION DIRECTLY AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE. THEREFORE...ANY NEW OR
EXISTING FIRES WILL CHANGE CHARACTER SOMEWHAT WITH THE DIFFERENT
WIND DIRECTION.
..LEVIT.. 01/19/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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