Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 220746
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0146 AM CST SUN JAN 22 2006
   
   VALID 221200Z - 231200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MTNS AND FOOTHILLS OF SRN CA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER LOW WILL DEVELOP OVER FAR SRN CA LATE TODAY INTO EARLY
   MONDAY MORNING...PRODUCING DEEP NELY FLOW ACROSS MUCH OF CNTRL AND
   SRN CA. SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE GREAT
   BASIN...STRENGTHENING THE LOW LEVEL WINDS OVER SRN CA.
   ELSEWHERE...PRECIPITATION WILL EXPAND NEWD OUT OF ERN TX INTO THE
   LOWER MS AND OH RIVER VALLEYS...AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MOVES NWD OUT
   OF THE GULF OF MEXICO.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MTNS AND FOOTHILLS OF SRN CA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: INCREASING SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW RH
   
   IT WILL REMAIN DRY AND MILD ALONG AND W OF THE SRN CA COASTAL RANGE
   THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL TOP OUT IN THE 60S AND LOWER
   70S...WITH RH VALUES BOTTOMING OUT IN THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S.
   LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP THROUGH PASSES AND CANYONS
   ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTY HIGHLANDS WITH
   SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 20-30 MPH AND GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH BY LATE
   AFTERNOON. SANTA ANA WINDS WILL INCREASE FURTHER OVERNIGHT AS THE
   PRESSURE GRADIENT STRENGTHENS AND THE UPPER LOW MOVES FARTHER
   SOUTH...BRINGING WINDS INTO FAVORABLE ALIGNMENT OUT OF THE NE. BY
   MONDAY MORNING...SUSTAINED SPEEDS WILL RANGE FROM 30-40 MPH WITH
   GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH BELOW PASSES AND CANYONS. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES
   WILL BE RELATIVELY COOL IN THE 50S...RH LEVELS SHOULD REMAIN NEAR 20
   PERCENT.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 01/22/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 220931
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0331 AM CST SUN JAN 22 2006
   
   VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR LOS
   ANGELES...VENTURA...ERN SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES IN SRN CA...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR REMAINING AREAS W OF THE COASTAL
   RANGE IN SRN CA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   CUT OFF UPPER LOW WILL MOVE SLOWLY SWD ACROSS SRN CA AND AZ...WHILE
   AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE GREAT BASIN AND PACIFIC NW. NELY
   WINDS ON WRN EDGE OF UPPER LOW ALONG WITH A STRONG AREA OF HIGH
   PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL HELP PRODUCE VERY STRONG SANTA
   ANA WINDS OVER SRN CA WITH EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS
   DEVELOPING.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - LOS
   ANGELES...VENTURA...ERN SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES IN SRN CA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW RH
   
   STRONG WINDS WILL BE ONGOING AT THE START OF THE PERIOD MONDAY
   MORNING...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WRN LOS ANGELES COUNTY
   AND SERN VENTURA COUNTY WHERE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30-40 MPH AND GUSTS
   OF 60-70 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED. RH LEVELS WILL DROP QUICKLY INTO THE
   TEENS BY LATE MORNING AS SHALLOW SURFACE STABLE LAYER MIXES OUT
   ACROSS THE LOWLANDS. TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE LOWER 70S DURING
   THE AFTERNOON WILL ALLOW RH VALUES TO DROP FURTHER INTO THE 7-10
   PERCENT RANGE. STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY
   MORNING WITH POOR RH RECOVERY AND A CONTINUATION OF HAZARDOUS FIRE
   CONDITIONS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - REMAINING AREAS W OF THE COASTAL
   RANGE IN SRN CA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW RH
   
   WHILE THE CORE OF THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE LOCATED OVER THE
   EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA...STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH WILL EXIST ACROSS
   THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION...INCLUDING ORANGE...WRN RIVERSIDE...AND
   SAN DIEGO COUNTIES. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-30 MPH APPEAR LIKELY ALONG
   WITH GUSTS OF 30-50 MPH. RH WILL BE VERY LOW NEAR 10 PERCENT.
   FARTHER TO THE NW...CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST OVER THE ERN
   CHANNEL ISLANDS AS WELL...DOWNSTREAM OF MAIN WWD PUSH OF WARM AND
   DRY AIR. RH LEVELS NEAR 20 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED ALONG WITH WINDS OF
   15-20 MPH. RH RECOVERY WILL BE POOR...ESPECIALLY IN THE FOOTHILLS.
   
   ..JEWELL/GRAMS.. 01/22/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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