Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 290822
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0222 AM CST SUN JAN 29 2006
   
   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A PORTION OF THE SRN HIGH
   PLAINS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRENGTHENING UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE SEWD FROM THE ROCKIES INTO
   THE MS VALLEY THROUGH THE PERIOD. MODERATE WNWLY MID LEVEL FLOW AND
   STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT ANOTHER BREEZY DAY
   ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS. OVER A PORTION OF THE SRN HIGH PLAINS...
   WHERE LOW RH READINGS COMBINE WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS...CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL EXIST.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - PORTION OF WRN TX/SERN NM...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH...MIN RH
   READINGS AROUND 15 PERCENT
   
   IN ASSOCIATION WITH ANOTHER APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH...WNWLY MID
   LEVEL FLOW WILL INCREASE OVER THE SRN PLAINS. STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL
   LAPSE RATES AND THE PRESENCE OF A MID LEVEL JET MAXIMUM WILL SUPPORT
   THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CORRIDOR OF MODERATE WINDS ACROSS SERN NM AND
   SWRN TX BEGINNING BY LATE MORNING. RECENT OBSERVATIONS FROM THE
   HIGHER TERRAIN OF ECENTRAL NM INDICATE THAT THESE WINDS ARE LIKELY
   TO BE STRONGER THAN CURRENT MODEL FORECASTS...WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS
   FROM 20-30 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
   /60S-LOWER 70S/ AND COMBINED WITH DWPTS IN THE TEENS...MIN RH
   READINGS WILL BE FROM 10-15 PERCENT.
   
   ...REST OF WRN TX...CENTRAL/NRN TX AND WRN/CENTRAL OK....
   SURROUNDING THE CRITICAL AREA...WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE SLIGHTLY
   LESS FAVORABLE FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SEWD
   THROUGH THE TX/OK PANHANDLES AND WRN OK. BEHIND THIS FRONT...STEEP
   LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT NWLY WINDS FROM 15-25 MPH. COOLER
   TEMPERATURES /50S/ THAN IN THE CRITICAL AREA WILL LIMIT MIN RH
   READINGS TO BETWEEN 20 AND 25 PERCENT.
   
   FURTHER SOUTH AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...SWLY WINDS FROM 10-15
   MPH WILL OCCUR OVER CENTRAL/NRN TX NWD INTO SRN/CENTRAL OK.
   RELATIVELY WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 60S TO MID 70S AND LOW DWPTS
   IN THE 20S WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS FROM 15-25 PERCENT. LACK OF
   STRONGER WINDS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IN THIS
   AREA AS WELL.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 01/29/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 290822
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0222 AM CST SUN JAN 29 2006
   
   VALID 301200Z - 311200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A SEASONABLY ACTIVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE NATION...AS
   ANOTHER UPPER SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE WEST COAST. WEAK RIDGING WILL
   EXIST AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE SWRN/ROCKIES STATES...WHILE A
   SURFACE LEE TROUGH BEGINS TO DEVELOP OVER THE HIGH PLAINS. FURTHER
   EAST...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SWD THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS
   IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH
   THE ERN STATES. WHERE THE WINDS ARE STRONGEST...LACK OF DRY AIR AND
   RECENT RAINS WILL PRECLUDE ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS IN THE SERN
   STATES. DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF DRY AIR...GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS WILL
   OCCUR ACROSS THE REST OF THE SRN PLAINS/SWRN STATES NEGATING ANY
   FIRE WEATHER THREATS.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 01/29/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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