Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 030900
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0300 AM CST FRI FEB 03 2006
   
   VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SCNTRL TX/LOWER RIO GRANDE
   VALLEY...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   VIGOROUS JET STREAK WILL ROUND THE BASE OF THE LARGE UPPER TROUGH
   NOW CENTERED ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST. AS IT DOES...MID LEVEL WIND
   SPEEDS ACROSS TX WILL INCREASE TO 80-90 KT. SFC COLD FRONT...NOW
   ACROSS NCNTRL TX/CNTRL NM...WILL ACCELERATE QUICKLY SWD ACROSS TX
   INTO THE GULF BY THIS EVENING. AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE FRONT REMAINS
   WARM AND DRY...AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE AVERAGE AGAIN
   TODAY. IN ADDITION...VERY STRONG POST FRONTAL WINDS WILL DEVELOP
   WHICH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS
   MUCH OF SCNTRL TX/LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SCNTRL TX/LOWER RIO GRANDE
   VALLEY...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 20 PERCENT/ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS/LONG
   TERM DROUGHT
   
   TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY CLIMBED INTO THE 90S AND SEVERAL RECORD
   HIGHS WERE RECORDED. WHILE TEMPS MAY BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER
   TODAY...THEY WILL STILL AVERAGE 10-20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN THE
   70S/80S...WITH LOWER 90S POSSIBLE ACROSS THE LOWER RIO GRANDE
   VALLEY. MINIMUM RH VALUES WERE 10-15 PERCENT ON THU AND WILL FALL
   BELOW 20 PERCENT TODAY. WINDS WILL SHIFT ABRUPTLY FROM W TO N AS THE
   FRONT MOVES ACROSS SCNTRL TX BY MID/LATE MORNING...WHILE WINDS
   ACROSS EXTREME SRN TX WILL SHIFT BY EARLY/MID AFTN. FORECAST
   SOUNDINGS AND MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15-25 MPH
   ARE LIKELY WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
   WILL BE SLIGHTLY WORSE TODAY THAN ON THU DUE TO THE STRONGER WINDS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 02/03/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 030902
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0302 AM CST FRI FEB 03 2006
   
   VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER TROUGH WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE MID/LOWER MS VALLEY EARLY
   SATURDAY...AND THE SYSTEM WILL DEEPEN WITH A CLOSED LOW DEVELOPING
   BY 05/00Z. MEANWHILE UPPER RIDGE WILL SHIFT EWD FROM THE NRN
   ROCKIES. THE STORM SYSTEM NOW APPROACHING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL
   START TO AFFECT THE SRN/CNTRL HIGH PLAINS ON SATURDAY. AT THE
   SFC...STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWIFTLY ACROSS THE SERN STATES
   WITH STRONG POST FRONTAL WINDS ON SAT AFTN. MEANWHILE...IN THE
   PLAINS...LEE SIDE TROUGH SETS UP WHICH WILL INDUCE SLY FLOW ACROSS
   ERN NM/TX PANHANDLE BY LATE AFTN.
   
   ...ERN NM/TX PANHANDLE...
   AFTER A BRIEF SURGE OF COOLER AIR ON FRIDAY...TEMPS WILL WARM UP ON
   SATURDAY INTO THE UPPER 50S/MID 60S. AIRMASS CONTINUES TO BE VERY
   DRY...AND MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL RANGE BETWEEN 10-15 PERCENT.
   FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL INCREASE BY
   MID/LATE AFTN...SUSTAINED VALUES SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN IN THE
   10-20 MPH RANGE. ANOTHER WINDY DAY IS EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 02/03/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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