Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 051004
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0404 AM CST SUN FEB 05 2006
VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN CALIFORNIA...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NEW MEXICO..NORTHWEST
TEXAS..SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
...SYNOPSIS...
ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
PLAINS TODAY HELPING TO PUSH ANOTHER GENERALLY DRY COLD FRONT ACROSS
OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS. A LARGE AND STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND DESERT
SOUTHWEST SETTING THE STAGE FOR A SANTA ANA WIND EVENT OVER SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN CALIFORNIA...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG AND GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS..VERY LOW
HUMIDITY..VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE GREAT BASIN COMBINED WITH AN
INVERTED LOW PRESSURE TROUGH JUST OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST WILL
PRODUCE A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT RESULTING IN STRONG AND GUSTY
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS FROM THE MOUNTAIN PASSES THROUGH THE COASTAL
AREAS. HUMIDITY READINGS WILL DROP TO BELOW 10 TO 15 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD IN THE 70S TO 80S. THE OFFSHORE WIND
EVENT SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH THE ONLY SIGNIFICANT
HUMIDITY RECOVERY LIMITED TO IMMEDIATELY ALONG THE COAST LATE IN THE
PERIOD.
PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THE NORTHERN TWO THIRDS OF THE AREA WILL
EXPERIENCE THE STRONGEST OFFSHORE/NORTHEASTERLY WINDS SUSTAINED AT
20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 TO 50 MPH AND VERY LOW HUMIDITY, BUT
SOUTHERN THIRD OF THE AREA MAY WELL EXPERIENCE DANGEROUS FIRE
CONDITIONS WITH NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH
AND HUMIDITY BELOW 15 PERCENT.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - ERN NEW MEXICO..NORTHWEST
TEXAS..SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG S/SW WINDS SHIFTING TO N/NWLY..LOW
HUMIDITY..DRY AND DEAD FUELS
A SURFACE LOW OVER SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO WILL MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD
TODAY ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND INTO NORTHERN TEXAS. A COLD FRONT
BEHIND THE LOW WILL SURGE SOUTHWARD BEHIND THE LOW. THE COMBINATION
OF THE SURFACE LOW AND COLD FRONT WILL RESULT IN INITIALLY STRONG
AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST TO WESTERLY WINDS SHIFTING TO VERY STRONG AND
GUSTY OUT OF THE NORTHWEST TO NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT. HUMIDITY WILL
BE QUITE LOW..BELOW 20 PERCENT OVER MUCH OF THE AREA WITH
TEMPERATURES AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN THE 60S AND 70S. TEMPERATURES
BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DROP INTO THE 50S WITH SOME SLOW INCREASE IN
HUMIDITY BEHIND THE FRONT. NORTHERLY WINDS SHOULD SLOWLY DECREASE
AFTER SUNSET AND HUMIDITY VALUES WILL RISE DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS.
..BOTHWELL.. 02/05/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 051027
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0427 AM CST SUN FEB 05 2006
VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN CALIFORNIA...
...SYNOPSIS...
A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL COVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND
WESTERN U.S. BEHIND A COLD FRONT OVER THE EASTERN U.S. A STORM
SYSTEM OVER THE EASTERN U.S. WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED PRECIPITATION
OVER ABOUT THE EASTERN QUARTER OF THE U.S. ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN CALIFORNIA...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: ON-GOING SANTA ANA EVENT WITH STRONG AND GUSTY
WINDS..VERY LOW HUMIDITY..VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER
A STRONG OFFSHORE WIND EVENT..SANTA ANA..WITH VERY LOW HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL BE ON-GOING DURING EARLY MONDAY MORNING. PRESENT
INDICATIONS ARE THAT BY MID AFTERNOON..THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
WEAKEN AND THE WINDS SHOULD WEAKEN BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON ALTHOUGH
THE VERY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA
UNTIL WELL AFTER SUNSET.
THERE WILL BE A BETTER CHANCE FOR SOME HUMIDITY RECOVERY TO OCCUR
MONDAY NIGHT..ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COASTAL AREA.
...SOUTHERN TEXAS...
STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR AND MANY OF THE FUELS
ARE DRY AND/OR DEAD ACROSS SOUTHERN AND WESTERN TEXAS..BUT GIVEN
COOLER TEMPERATURES WITH HUMIDITY GENERALLY STAYING ABOVE 30 TO 40
PERCENT...AT THIS TIME WILL NOT ISSUE A CRITICAL AREA ALTHOUGH THE
SITUATION WILL BE RE-EVALUATED TOMORROW MORNING WITH THE NEXT
FORECAST.
..BOTHWELL.. 02/05/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home