Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 051004
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0404 AM CST SUN FEB 05 2006
   
   VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN CALIFORNIA...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NEW MEXICO..NORTHWEST
   TEXAS..SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
   PLAINS TODAY HELPING TO PUSH ANOTHER GENERALLY DRY COLD FRONT ACROSS
   OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS.  A LARGE AND STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM
   WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND DESERT
   SOUTHWEST SETTING THE STAGE FOR A SANTA ANA WIND EVENT OVER SOUTHERN
   CALIFORNIA.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN CALIFORNIA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG AND GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS..VERY LOW
   HUMIDITY..VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER
   
   STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE GREAT BASIN COMBINED WITH AN
   INVERTED LOW PRESSURE TROUGH JUST OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST WILL
   PRODUCE A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT RESULTING IN STRONG AND GUSTY
   NORTHEASTERLY WINDS FROM THE MOUNTAIN PASSES THROUGH THE COASTAL
   AREAS. HUMIDITY READINGS WILL DROP TO BELOW 10 TO 15 PERCENT. 
   TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD IN THE 70S TO 80S.  THE OFFSHORE WIND
   EVENT SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH THE ONLY SIGNIFICANT
   HUMIDITY RECOVERY LIMITED TO IMMEDIATELY ALONG THE COAST LATE IN THE
   PERIOD.
   PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THE NORTHERN TWO THIRDS OF THE AREA WILL
   EXPERIENCE THE STRONGEST OFFSHORE/NORTHEASTERLY WINDS SUSTAINED AT
   20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 TO 50 MPH AND VERY LOW HUMIDITY, BUT
   SOUTHERN THIRD OF THE AREA MAY WELL EXPERIENCE DANGEROUS FIRE
   CONDITIONS WITH NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH
   AND HUMIDITY BELOW 15 PERCENT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - ERN NEW MEXICO..NORTHWEST
   TEXAS..SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG S/SW WINDS SHIFTING TO N/NWLY..LOW
   HUMIDITY..DRY AND DEAD FUELS
   
   A SURFACE LOW OVER SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO WILL MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD
   TODAY ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND INTO NORTHERN TEXAS. A COLD FRONT
   BEHIND THE LOW WILL SURGE SOUTHWARD BEHIND THE LOW.  THE COMBINATION
   OF THE SURFACE LOW AND COLD FRONT WILL RESULT IN INITIALLY STRONG
   AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST TO WESTERLY WINDS SHIFTING TO VERY STRONG AND
   GUSTY OUT OF THE NORTHWEST TO NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT.  HUMIDITY WILL
   BE QUITE LOW..BELOW 20 PERCENT OVER MUCH OF THE AREA WITH
   TEMPERATURES AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN THE 60S AND 70S.  TEMPERATURES
   BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DROP INTO THE 50S WITH SOME SLOW INCREASE IN
   HUMIDITY BEHIND THE FRONT.  NORTHERLY WINDS SHOULD SLOWLY DECREASE
   AFTER SUNSET AND HUMIDITY VALUES WILL RISE DURING THE OVERNIGHT
   HOURS.
   
   ..BOTHWELL.. 02/05/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 051027
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0427 AM CST SUN FEB 05 2006
   
   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN CALIFORNIA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL COVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND
   WESTERN U.S. BEHIND A COLD FRONT OVER THE EASTERN U.S. A STORM
   SYSTEM OVER THE EASTERN U.S. WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED PRECIPITATION
   OVER  ABOUT THE EASTERN QUARTER OF THE U.S. ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
   COLD FRONT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN CALIFORNIA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: ON-GOING SANTA ANA EVENT WITH STRONG AND GUSTY
   WINDS..VERY LOW HUMIDITY..VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER
   
   A STRONG OFFSHORE WIND EVENT..SANTA ANA..WITH VERY LOW HUMIDITY
   VALUES WILL BE ON-GOING DURING EARLY MONDAY MORNING.  PRESENT
   INDICATIONS ARE THAT BY MID AFTERNOON..THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
   WEAKEN AND THE WINDS SHOULD WEAKEN BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON ALTHOUGH
   THE VERY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA
   UNTIL WELL AFTER SUNSET.
   THERE WILL BE A BETTER CHANCE FOR SOME HUMIDITY RECOVERY TO OCCUR
   MONDAY NIGHT..ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COASTAL AREA.
   
   ...SOUTHERN TEXAS...
   
   STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR AND MANY OF THE FUELS
   ARE DRY AND/OR DEAD ACROSS SOUTHERN AND WESTERN TEXAS..BUT GIVEN
   COOLER TEMPERATURES WITH HUMIDITY GENERALLY STAYING ABOVE 30 TO 40
   PERCENT...AT THIS TIME WILL NOT ISSUE A CRITICAL AREA ALTHOUGH THE
   SITUATION WILL BE RE-EVALUATED TOMORROW MORNING WITH THE NEXT
   FORECAST.
   
   ..BOTHWELL.. 02/05/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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