Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 060948
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0348 AM CST MON FEB 06 2006
   
   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN CA...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF NCNTRL/SCNTRL TX
   THROUGH THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   OFFSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST TODAY ACROSS SRN CA CONTRIBUTING TO
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...WHILE A STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE
   THROUGH SRN TX BRINGING GUSTY WINDS TO THAT AREA. STRONG UPPER LEVEL
   RIDGE ACROSS THE WEST WILL BUILD IN THE WAKE OF A WEAK WAVE NOW
   MOVING ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES. AIRMASS ACROSS SRN CA REMAINS
   DRY...WITH LITTLE HUMIDITY RECOVERY EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN CA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS/VERY LOW RH VALUES/EXTREME
   FIRE DANGER
   
   HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 70S/80S...WHICH IS 15-20
   DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. A FEW RECORD HIGHS ARE EVEN POSSIBLE. FORECAST
   SOUNDINGS AND SREF MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST MINIMUM RH VALUES COULD
   DIP AS LOW AS 5-10 PERCENT...WITH RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT ACROSS
   INLAND LOCATIONS. AS OF EARLY THIS MORNING...STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS
   WERE ALREADY OCCURRING WITH SOME LOCATIONS REPORTING WINDS OF 20-30
   MPH. SUSTAINED WINDS TODAY WILL RANGE FROM 15-30 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS. RECENT FIRE DANGER CLASS OBSERVATIONS REMAIN HIGH TO
   EXTREME...AND SANTA ANA CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST
   EARLY WEDNESDAY.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - PORTIONS OF NCNTRL/SCNTRL TX
   THROUGH THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-30 MPH/MINIMUM RH VALUES
   BELOW 20 PERCENT/
   
   COLD FRONT IS MOVING ACROSS SCNTRL TX EARLY THIS MORNING...AND WILL
   MOVE PAST BROWNSVILLE BY LATE MORNING WITH WINDS SHIFTING FROM THE
   W/SW TO N BEHIND THE FRONT. LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL BE 30-40 KT JUST A
   FEW THOUSAND FEET ABOVE THE SFC...AND ONCE DIURNAL MIXING BEGINS
   THIS MORNING...SFC WINDS WILL BECOME STRONG. SUSTAINED WINDS OF
   15-30 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. SFC
   DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE MID 20S NORTH OF THE FRONT...AND IN THE UPPER
   50S IN THE WARM SECTOR. DEWPOINTS WILL DROP OFF RAPIDLY BEHIND THE
   FRONT...AND RH VALUES WILL RANGE BETWEEN 15-20 PERCENT. WINDY AND
   DRY CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF NCNTRL TX...BUT
   TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER /MID 50S TO LOWER 60S/...THUS MITIGATING
   THE FIRE THREAT SOMEWHAT.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 02/06/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 060948
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0348 AM CST MON FEB 06 2006
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN CA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   SANTA ANA PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SRN CA ON TUESDAY...AS UPPER
   LOW NOW OFF CA COAST GRADUALLY MOVES SEWD TOWARD BAJA.
   MEANWHILE...UPPER RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT SLIGHTLY EWD ON TUE...WITH
   ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH DROPPING SE ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST. LEE
   TROUGH WILL FORM IN THE HIGH PLAINS...WITH SWLY FLOW REDEVELOPING
   OVER NW/W TX.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN CA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS/MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 15
   PERCENT/EXTREME FIRE DANGER
   
   OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BE STRONG ON TUESDAY OWING TO TIGHT
   PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES AND TROUGH OFF
   THE W COAST. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE
   LIKELY. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS IN THE 70S/80S WILL CONTINUE...WITH
   MINIMUM RH VALUES DROPPING INTO THE 5-10 PERCENT RANGE ACROSS INLAND
   LOCATIONS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 02/06/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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