Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 080957
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0357 AM CST WED FEB 08 2006
   
   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN CA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE WRN STATES WITH LARGE
   AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE. SANTA ANA WINDS WILL CONTINUE
   OVER SRN CA DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF THE GREAT BASIN HIGH AND AN
   UPPER LOW THAT WILL CONTINUE SLOWLY EWD ACROSS SRN CA AND AZ. 
   FARTHER E...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT SWD ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES
   AND WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE SRN MS VALLEY BY THU MORNING...AND WLY
   WINDS WILL BRING DRY AIR INTO THE DEEP SOUTH.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN CA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SANTA ANA WINDS / EXTREMELY LOW RH / HIGH HAINES
   INDEX
   
   SANTA ANA WINDS WILL BE ONGOING THIS MORNING...AND WILL CONTINUE
   THROUGH THE DAY. SUSTAINED WINDS 15-25 MPH WILL BE COMMON WITH GUSTS
   OF 30-40 BELOW FAVORED PASSES AND CANYONS. RH WILL BE EXTREMELY LOW
   FROM 5-10 PERCENT WITH VERY WARM TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 80S. LOW
   TO MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE VERY STEEP WITH HIGH HAINES INDEX.
   RH RECOVERY WILL BE POOR OVERNIGHT WITH CONTINUED WINDS AND MIXING.
   
   ...CAROLINAS / GA / AL / NRN FL...
   WLY WINDS NEAR 10 MPH WILL BE PRESENT AT THE SURFACE WITH HIGH
   PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE W. RH WILL AVERAGE 25-35 PERCENT
   ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION WITH TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE 50S. SOME
   LOCATIONS MAY SEE RH VALUES NEAR 20 PERCENT DURING PEAK HEATING
   HOURS. LOW KBDI VALUES...LIGHT WINDS AND COOL TEMPERATURES SUGGEST
   ONLY MARGINAL THREAT DURING THE AFTERNOON DUE TO LOW RH.
   
   ...SRN OK INTO NRN TX...
   A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH OK DURING THE DAY ON WED AND WILL BE
   INTO N TX BY LATE AFTERNOON. NLY WINDS OF 15-20 MPH ARE LIKELY ALONG
   
   WITH MIN RH READINGS OF 17-25 PERCENT AS TEMPERATURES RISE INTO 50S
   OK TO THE 60S IN TX. ALTHOUGH RH LEVELS ARE MARGINAL...FIRE THREAT
   WILL BE ENHANCED IN AREAS THAT RECEIVED LITTLE RAIN
   RECENTLY...MAINLY FROM CENTRAL OK INTO NW TX.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 02/08/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 080958
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0358 AM CST WED FEB 08 2006
   
   VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE WRN U.S. WHICH WILL KEEP
   CONDITIONS DRY. VERY WARM CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS SRN CA WITH
   OFFSHORE FLOW DECREASING. FARTHER E...UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO
   AMPLIFY AS IT DROPS OUT OF CANADA INTO THE MS VALLEY
   REGION...KEEPING CONDITIONS ACROSS THE ERN U.S. RATHER COOL AND
   MOSTLY DRY WITH HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE. SWLY FLOW WILL
   INCREASE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS ON BACK SIDE OF SURFACE HIGH.
   
   ...SRN CA...
   UPPER RIDGE ALOFT COMBINED WITH DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP FIRE
   THREAT ABOVE NORMAL THURSDAY...BUT WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER AS PRESSURE
   GRADIENT RELAXES. VERY LOW HUMIDITY NEAR 10 PERCENT WILL EXIST AS
   TEMPERATURES REACH THE LOWER 80S. HAINES INDEX WILL REMAIN MDT TO
   HIGH ACROSS THE AREA AND RH RECOVERY WILL REMAIN POOR NEAR RIDGE
   TOPS.
   
   ...WRN OK / NWRN TX...
   A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM OVER ERN CO AND MOVE INTO NW
   TX LATE THU AHEAD OF AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH. THIS WILL INCREASE
   PRESSURE GRADIENT AT THE SURFACE AND CAUSE SWLY WINDS TO INCREASE TO
   15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20-25 LIKELY W . MIN RH LEVELS ARE LIKELY TO
   RANGE FROM 15-20 PERCENT OVER ERN NM AND THE OK/TX PANHANDLES AND
   CLOSER TO 25 PERCENT I-35 CORRIDOR IN OK/TX.
   
   ...CENTRAL AND SRN FL...
   UPPER TROUGH AXIS WILL SHIFT EWD ACROSS FL THU WITH NWLY SURFACE
   WINDS NEAR 15 MPH BRINGING IN LOWER RH VALUES OF 30-40 PERCENT. KBDI
   VALUES ARE MODERATELY LOW THUS CRITICAL CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP
   THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR A FEW HOURS.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 02/08/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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