Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 100910
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0310 AM CST FRI FEB 10 2006
   
   VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN CA COASTAL RANGE...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LARGE UPPER TROUGH WILL BUILD SOUTH ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
   VALLEY IN COMBINATION WITH AN UPPER LOW LIFTING EAST OUT OF NRN
   MEXICO. AN UPPER RIDGE AXIS WILL DRIFT SLOWLY EASTWARD ALONG THE
   PACIFIC COAST. AT THE SURFACE...A DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE LOWER
   MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL SPREAD PRECIPITATION NORTHEAST FROM EAST TX
   INTO THE SRN APPALACHIANS. RESIDUAL DRY AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE
   INTERIOR OF FL BUT WITH LIGHTER WINDS. IN THE WEST...HIGH PRESSURE
   WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE NRN ROCKIES.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN CA COASTAL RANGE...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY LOW RH / OFFSHORE FLOW / WARM TEMPERATURES
   
   AFTER RECORD WARMTH OVER MUCH OF WRN CA ON THURSDAY...SLIGHTLY
   COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TODAY WITH WEAKER OFFSHORE FLOW.
   HOWEVER...VERY LOW RH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUED WITH MIN VALUES
   RANGING FROM 10 TO 15 PERCENT. EVEN THOUGH OFFSHORE FLOW SHOULD
   DIMINISH AS THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS DRIFTS TOWARDS THE AREA
   DURING THE DAY...WINDS SHOULD STILL BE MODERATE THROUGH PASSES AND
   CANYONS ALONG THE COASTAL RANGE WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS FROM 15 TO 25
   MPH. EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...AN UPPER TROUGH DIGGING SOUTH OVER THE
   ROCKIES WILL HELP TO STRENGTHEN THE OFFSHORE FLOW ONCE AGAIN.
   LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS TO AROUND 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH POOR RH
   RECOVERY DURING THE NIGHT.
   
   ...CNTRL/SRN FL...
   TEMPERATURES WILL WARM SLIGHTLY TODAY AS THE AIR MASS
   MODIFIES...WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO MID 70S. WINDS WILL BE
   LIGHTER AS A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST OVER THE
   ATLANTIC. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY AHEAD OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
   VALLEY STORM SYSTEM. THIS WILL LEAD TO A GRADUAL MOISTENING OF THE
   AIR MASS. HOWEVER...AREAS OF LOW RH WILL REMAIN ESPECIALLY INLAND
   DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH MIN VALUES NEAR 30 PERCENT.
   
   ...NRN TX...
   A PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT WILL BRING BLUSTERY NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO
   30 MPH. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH MIN RH VALUES AROUND 25
   PERCENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...RATHER COOL TEMPERATURES ARE
   FORECAST WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 40S TO AROUND 50.
   
   ..GRAMS/JEWELL.. 02/10/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 101015
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0415 AM CST FRI FEB 10 2006
   
   VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN CA...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CNTRL AZ...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE CNTRL AND ERN U.S. WILL HELP
   STRENGTHEN A SURFACE LOW ALONG THE E COAST. PRECIPITATION SHOULD
   OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE EAST. IN THE WEST...A SURFACE HIGH WILL
   REMAIN ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE ROCKIES...BUILDING SOUTH TOWARDS THE
   BIG BEND OF TEXAS. IN BETWEEN THE SYSTEMS...A STRONG PRESSURE
   GRADIENT WILL EXIST PRODUCING BLUSTERY WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE
   PLAINS. AN INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT IN THE SW WILL LEAD TO
   STRENGTHING NORTHEASTERLY WINDS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN CA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SANTA ANA WINDS / VERY LOW RH / WARM
   TEMPERATURES
   
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DURING MOST OF THE
   PERIOD. GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS SHOULD BE IN PLACE BY SATURDAY MORNING
    IN THE MOUNTAINS AND PASSES OF THE COASTAL RANGE. DURING THE
   DAY...NEAR-RECORD WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S ALONG
   WITH A DRY AIR MASS WILL PRODUCE VERY LOW RH VALUES. MIN RH READINGS
   BY LATE AFTERNOON SHOULD BOTTOM OUT IN THE 5 TO 15 PERCENT RANGE.
   DURING SATURDAY EVENING INTO SUNDAY MORNING...WINDS WILL REMAIN
   STRONG OUT OF THE NORTHEAST. SUSTAINED SPEEDS SHOULD RANGE FROM 20
   TO 30 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH. EVEN THOUGH TEMPERATURES
   WILL COOL INTO THE 40S AND 50S...THE STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
   PROMOTE LOW RH VALUES OVERNIGHT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - CNTRL AZ...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY LOW RH / STRONG WINDS
   
   DRY NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE ON SATURDAY...AS
   HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS ERN NM AND THE BIG BEND OF TX. DAYTIME
   TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM INTO THE 60S SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM.
   WITH A VERY DRY AIR MASS...MIN RH VALUES SHOULD BOTTOM OUT FROM 5 TO
   10 PERCENT. THIS COMBINED WITH WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL PRODUCE A
   CRITICAL FIRE THREAT OVER THE AREA.
   
   ...CNTRL TX...
   BLUSTERY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED
   ACROSS MUCH OF TX ON SATURDAY. THIS COMBINED WITH A DRY AIR MASS MAY
   SUPPORT CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS WITH MIN RH VALUES IN THE TEENS AND
   LOWER 20S. HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE COOL MAINLY IN
   THE 50S AND LOWER 60S. MID AND UPPER-LEVEL CLOUDINESS IS ALSO
   EXPECTED MOST OF THE DAY LIMITING SUNSHINE.
   
   ..GRAMS/JEWELL.. 02/10/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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