Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 141004
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0404 AM CST TUE FEB 14 2006
VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
AS POLAR VORTEX PIVOTS NEAR HUDSON BAY...SHORTWAVE UPPER TROUGH WILL
DIG SOUTHWARD ALONG THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST...WITH A BROAD
WESTERLY/ZONAL UPPER FLOW REGIME OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE CONUS. AT
THE SURFACE...WEAK LOW PRESSURE/LEE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...WITH GUSTY WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN
NM/WEST TX. HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP A DRY AIRMASS ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST STATES.
...EASTERN NM AND WEST/NORTHWEST TX...
BREEZY SW WINDS OF 15-30 MPH WILL EXIST ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN NM
AND WEST/NORTHWEST TX TODAY SOUTH OF WEAK SURFACE LOW/LEE TROUGH.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REACH THE LOWER 70S...WITH SINGLE
DIGIT AFTERNOON RH VALUES.
...FL/AL/GA/SC...
INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN A DRY AIRMASS ACROSS MUCH
OF THE SOUTHEAST STATES. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE AS LOW AS 25
PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS DURATION ACROSS INTERIOR GA/AL/SC AND
NORTHERN FL...RANGING TO 35 PERCENT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FL
PENINSULA. GIVEN THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THE SURFACE HIGH...WINDS
WILL BE COMPARATIVELY LIGHTER FROM MONDAY...WITH WIND SPEEDS
GENERALLY 5-10 MPH TODAY.
...OZARKS VICINITY...
COMBINATION OF RATHER WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S...BREEZY S/SW
WINDS...AND LOW RH VALUES WILL LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED FIRE DANGER
ACROSS THE OZARKS VICINITY THIS AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED SOUTH/SOUTHWEST
WINDS MAY REACH 15-20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES
OF 25 PERCENT OR BELOW.
..GUYER.. 02/14/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 141007
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0407 AM CST TUE FEB 14 2006
VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NM AND WEST/NORTHWEST
TX...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHERN NV/MUCH OF AZ INTO
SOUTHERN NM...
...SYNOPSIS...
WITHIN LONGWAVE TROUGH...POLAR VORTEX WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD OVER THE
CENTRAL CANADIAN PRAIRIES WEDNESDAY...WHILE SHORTWAVE TROUGH CROSSES
THE GREAT BASIN/FOUR CORNERS AREA. IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
LATTER...STRONG/GUSTY WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS A LARGE PORTION
OF THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN/FOUR CORNERS VICINITY...INTO THE
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - EASTERN NM AND WEST/NORTHWEST
TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: GUSTY SW WINDS AND LOW RH VALUES/WARM
TEMPERATURES
WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS MUCH OF NM INTO WEST/NORTHWEST TX
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON IN ASSOCIATION WITH SOUTHWARD TRANSITION OF MID
LEVEL JET OVER THE FOUR CORNERS AND EASTWARD DEVELOPMENT OF LOW
PRESSURE ACROSS THE ROCKIES/HIGH PLAINS. SOUTHWEST/WEST WINDS OF
15-30 MPH ARE LIKELY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...STRONGEST FROM THE EAST
CENTRAL NM MOUNTAINS INTO THE EASTERN NM PLAINS. SOUTH OF THE
LEADING EDGE OF SHALLOW COOLER AIR...DOWNSLOPE TRAJECTORIES/DEEP
MIXING WILL SUPPORT MILD TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 70S ACROSS MUCH
OF THE EASTERN NM PLAINS AND WEST TX...WITH LOW RH VALUES.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - SOUTHERN NV/MUCH OF AZ INTO
SOUTHERN NM...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG WINDS
AS STRONG LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVES EAST ACROSS
THE REGION...RATHER STRONG WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER
A BROAD EXTENT OF THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN/COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AND
FOUR CORNERS VICINITY ON WEDNESDAY. WIND SPEEDS OF 20-35 MPH WILL BE
COMMON BY AFTERNOON...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IN ADDITION TO MILD
TEMPERATURES...RH VALUES WILL LIKELY BE NEAR CRITICAL THRESHOLDS IN
THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHERN NV/AZ/SOUTHERN NM. ALTHOUGH WINDS
WILL BE STRONGER...HIGHER RH VALUES OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
AZ/NM WILL TEND TO LIMIT THE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT WITH
NORTHWARD EXTENT.
..GUYER.. 02/14/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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