Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 150906
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0306 AM CST WED FEB 15 2006
   
   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   WITHIN A BROAD UPPER TROUGH THAT DEVELOPS OVER THE WRN/CENTRAL CONUS
   TODAY...A STRONG SHORTWAVE UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE SEWD THROUGH THE
   GREAT BASIN/ROCKIES. AHEAD OF THIS SHORTWAVE TROUGH...GUSTY SWLY
   WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST STATES. COMBINED WITH
   LOW RH VALUES...A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT WILL EXIST OVER A
   LARGE AREA.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - LOWER ELEVATIONS OF SRN NV/SERN CA
   EWD ACROSS SERN UT/SRN CO...MOST OF NRN/CENTRAL AZ...NM AND PORTIONS
   OF WRN TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS
   UP TO 40 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-15 PERCENT
   
   AHEAD OF A DIGGING SHORTWAVE TROUGH...SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL
   DEEPEN OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. STRONG LOW-MID LEVEL WINDS COMBINED
   WITH AN INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL SUPPORT STRONG AND GUSTY
   SWLY WINDS OVER A LARGE PORTION OF THE SOUTHWEST/SRN ROCKIES.
   SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
   FROM SRN NV/SERN CA EWD ACROSS SERN UT/SRN CO...MOST OF NRN/CENTRAL
   AZ...NM AND PORTIONS OF WRN TX. DRY AIR WITH DEWPTS IN THE SINGLE
   DIGITS COMBINED WITH MILD TEMPERATURES IN LOWER ELEVATIONS AHEAD OF
   THE FRONT...WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-15 PERCENT AND THUS
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ...CENTRAL/NRN TX AND CENTRAL/SRN OK...
   THE LOW LEVEL JET IS FCST TO WEAKEN AND MOVE EAST OF THE REGION
   THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AS AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE MS
   VALLEY. THEREFORE SUSTAINED SLY WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO RANGE FROM
   10-20 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OVER
   SERN OK/NERN TX. OVER MOST OF THE AREA...WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE
   70S WILL COMBINE WITH DEWPTS IN THE 20S/30S TO PROVIDE FOR MIN RH
   READINGS FROM 15-20 PERCENT.  HOWEVER OVER SERN OK/NERN TX...HIGHER
   DEWPTS IN THE 40S/50S WILL ALLOW FOR MIN RH READINGS TO REMAIN ABOVE
   35 PERCENT. THEREFORE...NO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
   ANTICIPATED.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 02/15/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 150906
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0306 AM CST WED FEB 15 2006
   
   VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A PORTION OF THE SRN PLAINS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL EJECT OUT OF THE SRN ROCKIES INTO THE MS
   VALLEY THROUGH THE PERIOD. AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH...SURFACE LOW
   PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY MOVE NEWD FROM THE TX PANHANDLE TO THE ERN
   GREAT LAKES BY 17/12Z. AHEAD AN ASSOCIATED ARCTIC COLD FRONT...WARM
   AIR WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S TO 80S...WILL COMBINE WITH MODERATE
   SWLY WINDS AND LOW RH READINGS TO PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS OVER A PORTION OF THE SRN PLAINS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/ERN
   NM...WRN/NWRN AND CENTRAL TX...SWRN AND SCENTRAL OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS
   OVER 40 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-20 PERCENT
   
   AHEAD OF ARCTIC/PACIFIC COLD FRONTS...SWLY WINDS WILL BE MODERATE
   AGAIN ON DAY TWO AS A STRONG SFC-UPPER SYSTEM EJECTS OUT OF THE SRN
   ROCKIES. SWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40
   MPH...STRONGEST OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CENTRAL/ERN NM AND FAR
   WRN TX...WILL OCCUR AGAIN OVER A PORTION OF THE SRN PLAINS REGION.
   THE WRN EDGE OF THE MOIST AXIS...AND THUS ERN EDGE OF THE CRITICAL
   AREA...SHOULD LIE ALONG THE CLIMATOLOGICALLY FAVORED I-35 CORRIDOR
   FROM SCENTRAL OK INTO CENTRAL TX BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS. IN
   ADDITION...THE NRN EDGE OF THE CRITICAL AREA IS DE-MARKED BY THE
   ANTICIPATED LOCATION OF THE ARCTIC COLD FRONT AROUND EARLY
   AFTERNOON. NORTH OF THIS LINE...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
   NOT ANTICIPATED TO LAST LONG ENOUGH TO WARRANT AN OUTLOOK AREA. AS
   ARCTIC COLD FRONT MOVES SWD THROUGH THE TX PANHANDLE ...SRN/CENTRAL
   OK DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON HOURS...RH READINGS WILL
   RAPIDLY IMPROVE IN IT/S WAKE...BUT WINDS WILL QUICKLY SHIFT TO A NLY
   DIRECTION AND REMAIN STRONG INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 02/15/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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